- Solve real problems with our hands-on interface
- Progress from basic puts and calls to advanced strategies
Interactive Options Course
Posted August 14, 2025 at 1:07 pm
Tomorrow’s retail sales report is expected to show a 0.5% month-over-month increase for July, but my estimate is way higher at 0.8%. Meanwhile, I don’t think the number will be less than 0% or above 2.7%, so I like the risk-reward profiles of the “Yes” at $0.89 and the “No” at 2.7% for $0.96.
Industrial production is expected to post an increase of 1.5% year over year and I don’t think a big miss is in the cards, although I do think that it can significantly beat to the upside. I like the “Yeses” from -1% all the way up to 0.5%, which are ranging from $0.96 to $0.85 in cost.
Source for Images: ForecastEx
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of August 14, 2025. Red circle around the thresholds was inserted by J. Torres to highlight his preferred “Yes” answers throughout different levels.
To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders’ Academy video here
For specific platform feedback and suggestions, please submit it directly to our team using these instructions.
If you have an account-specific question or concern, please reach out to Client Services.
We encourage you to look through our FAQs before posting. Your question may already be covered!
Information posted on IBKR Campus that is provided by third-parties does NOT constitute a recommendation that you should contract for the services of that third party. Third-party participants who contribute to IBKR Campus are independent of Interactive Brokers and Interactive Brokers does not make any representations or warranties concerning the services offered, their past or future performance, or the accuracy of the information provided by the third party. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This material is from IBKR Macroeconomics, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers LLC, and is being posted with its permission. The views expressed in this material are solely those of the author and/or IBKR Macroeconomics and Interactive Brokers is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the material. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any security. It should not be construed as research or investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security or commodity. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
Interactive Brokers LLC is a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and a clearing member and affiliate of ForecastEx LLC (“ForecastEx”). ForecastEx is a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization. Interactive Brokers LLC provides access to ForecastEx Forecast Contracts for eligible customers. Interactive Brokers LLC does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.
This is commentary on economic, political and/or market conditions within the meaning of CFTC Regulation 1.71, and is not meant provide sufficient information upon which to base a decision to enter into a derivatives transaction.
Related Articles
My first time to try this Forcast trader. I went with the yes on two contracts but I do not see how you can pick the various options laid out by your firm . I had to pick 0.8 when your recondition included several different options circled in red Regards Gerry Runolfson
Hi Gerry, thank you for reaching out. Can you please describe the issue that you are experiencing in more detail, so we can best assist?