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Middle East Weighs On The Middle Kingdom

Posted June 18, 2025 at 9:45 am

Brendan Ahern
KraneShares

Key News

Asian equities, despite US involvement/escalation concerns in the Middle East, were mixed, led higher by Japan, Taiwan, and surging South Korea, while Hong Kong, Thailand, and Pakistan underperformed.

The US dollar finally showed its reserve currency status outperforming most Asian currencies except for the Yen and Singapore dollar. It was an interesting divergence in the region as Hong Kong growth stocks underperformed for the second day in a row on light volumes, indicating investors’ limited risk appetite against the geopolitical backdrop.

Fairly uneventful risk off night with little news, except for Mainland investors buying the Hong Kong dip with $158 million of net buying as Southbound Stock Connect trading accounted for 53% of Hong Kong turnover. Following a morning selloff, the Mainland market managed to grind higher, led by growth stocks, with electronic equipment and communication equipment providers outperforming.

Mainland media noted that several consumption policies had been suspended. The issue is that demand has exceeded the government’s release of RMB 162 billion of the RMB 300 billion raised through the sale of long-term Treasury bonds. Further funds will flow over the course of the year, indicating strong demand, i.e., a good thing! 

The Lujiazui Forum kicked off today in Shanghai, with announcements from the heads of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), State Administration of Foreign Exchange, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). The CSRC’s speech on reforming and enhancing the STAR Board included allowing “innovative unprofitable companies” to go public in order to raise funds to spur their R&D. Today’s Forum focus was on the renminbi as currency trading, digital currency, and promotion were a priority. Hopefully, we see a reemphasis on shareholder-friendly policies promoted, including buybacks, corporate governance, and M&A  in tomorrow’s session. The emphasis on the STAR Board explains its outperformance today.

Last Night’s Performance

Country / IndexTicker1-Day Change
China (Hong Kong)HSI Index-1.1%
Hang Seng TechHSTECH Index-1.5%
Hong Kong TurnoverHKTurn Index-10%
Hong Kong Short Sale TurnoverHKSST Index-12.1%
Short Turnover as a % of Hong Kong TurnoverN/A13.1%
Southbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)N/A-29.4
China (Shanghai)SHCOMP Index0%
China (Shenzhen)SZCOMP Index0%
China (STAR Board)Star50 Index0.5%
Mainland Turnover.chturn Index-1.4%
Nouthbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)N/ANot Available
Jing Daily China Global Luxury IndexCHINALUX Index0%
JapanNKY Index0.9%
IndiaSENSEX Index-0.2%
IndonesiaJCI Index-0.7%
MalaysiaFBMKLCI Index0%
PakistanKSE100 Index-1.3%
PhilippinesPCOMP Index-0.5%
South KoreaKOSPI Index0.7%
TaiwanTWSE Index0.7%
ThailandSET Index-1.7%
SingaporeSTI Index-0.3%
AustraliaAS51 Index-0.1%
VietnamVNINDEX Index-0.1%
IndicatorAMainland China
Today’s Volume % of 1-Year Average94%93%
Advancing Stocks1481590
Declining Stocks3183417
Outperforming FactorsDividend Yield, Value, Low VolatilityGrowth, Liquidity, Momentum
Underperforming FactorsLiquidity, Growth, MomentumLow Volatility, Buyback, Value
Top SectorsMaterialsTech, Utilities, Discretionary
Bottom SectorsReal Estate, Discretionary, EnergyEnergy, Communication, Real Estate
Top SubsectorsConsumer Durables/Apparel, Non Ferrous Metals, REITsElectronic Components, Soft Drink, Communication Equipment
Bottom SubsectorsHousehold/Personal Products, National Defense, Consumer ServicesOffice Supplies, Leisure Products, Daily Chemical
Southbound Connect BuysShandong Molong, United Energy Group (Small)
Southbound Connect SellsPop Mart, Tencent (Moderate), Alibaba, CNOOC, Meituan, Xiaomi (Small)
MSCI China All Shares Index# of StocksAverage 1-Day Change (%)
Hong Kong Listed152-1.16
Communication Services9-1.03
Consumer Discretionary28-2
Consumer Staples13-0.97
Energy6-1.13
Financials24-0.65
Health Care12-0.62
Industrials21-0.58
Information Technology10-0.37
Materials101.11
Real Estate7-3.21
Utilities12-0.35
Mainland China Listed3950.08
Communication Services7-1.07
Consumer Discretionary290.15
Consumer Staples240.08
Energy13-1.31
Financials640.01
Health Care32-0.68
Industrials61-0.06
Information Technology901.22
Materials54-0.34
Real Estate6-1
Utilities150.18
US & Hong Kong Dually ListedTicker1-Day Change (%)
Tencent HK700 HK Equity-1.1
Alibaba HK9988 HK Equity-2.3
JD.com HK9618 HK Equity-1.6
NetEase HK9999 HK Equity-0.3
Yum China HK9987 HK Equity-1
Baozun HK9991 HK Equity-3.1
Baidu HK9888 HK Equity-2.2
Autohome HK2518 HK Equity0.1
Bilibili HK9626 HK Equity-2.8
Trip.com HK9961 HK Equity-3.5
EDU HK9901 HK Equity-2
Xpeng HK9868 HK Equity0.9
Weibo HK9898 HK Equity-1.8
Li Auto HK2015 HK Equity-4.1
Nio Auto HK9866 HK Equity-2
Zhihu HK2390 HK Equity-3.9
KE HK2423 HK Equity-4.1
Tencent Music Entertainment HK1698 HK Equity-1.6
Meituan HK3690 HK Equity-3.5
Hong Kong’s Most Heavily Traded by Value1-Day Change (%)
TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD-1.1
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD-2.3
MEITUAN-CLASS B-3.5
POP MART INTERNATIONAL GROUP1.6
XIAOMI CORP-CLASS B-0.4
HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEAR-2.3
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK-H0
UNITED ENERGY GROUP LTD37.5
BYD CO LTD-H-1.2
SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING-1.1
Shanghai and Shenzhen’s Most Heavily Traded by Value1-Day Change (%)
ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT CO LTD-A4.8
LAKALA PAYMENT CO LTD-A-6.1
SHENZHEN FORMS SYNTRON INF-A0.5
EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY INC L-A4.8
VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY -A5.3
HUAFON MICROFIBRE SHANGHAI-A11.6
RONGFA NUCLEAR EQUIPMENT C-A-3.1
WUS PRINTED CIRCUIT KUNSHA-A10
HENGBAO CO LTD-A5.9
SUZHOU DONGSHAN PRECISION-A5.1

Last Night’s Exchange Rates, Prices, & Yields

  • CNY per USD 7.18 versus 7.18 yesterday
  • CNY per EUR 8.26 versus 8.30 yesterday
  • Yield on 10-Year Government Bond 1.64% versus 1.64% yesterday
  • Yield on 10-Year China Development Bank Bond 1.71% versus 1.70% yesterday
  • Copper Price +0.11%
  • Steel Price +0.00%

Originally Posted on June 18, 2025 – Middle East Weighs On The Middle Kingdom

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