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Posted August 5, 2025 at 10:00 am
The busy week for the markets last week culminated in the July Employment Situation report. With the jobs data coming after the July FOMC meeting, investors were greeted with a dynamic that is somewhat unusual. With the July jobs data now in, the markets are faced with a visibly different labor market backdrop than what existed at 8:29 Friday morning prior to the release, i.e., much softer than previously thought over the last three months (see below).

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, as of 8/1/25.
Here are some takeaways:
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Originally Posted August 4, 2025 – Is a September Rate Cut Now in Play?
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