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Chance of Clarity Act Becoming Law in ‘26 at 40% With Senate Preparing To Vote Tomorrow: Sept. 14, 2026

Chance of Clarity Act Becoming Law in ‘26 at 40% With Senate Preparing To Vote Tomorrow: Sept. 14, 2026

Posted September 14, 2026 at 1:30 pm

Jose Torres
IBKR Macroeconomics

The Senate votes on the Clarity Act tomorrow after President Trump accepted some key ethics components over the weekend. The legislation would establish new guidelines and institute fresh legal infrastructure for cryptocurrencies and digital assets, but with just 53 Republicans in the upper chamber, at least seven Democrats are needed to cast yays for the bill to avoid a filibuster and clear this significant congressional hurdle. The proposal has stalled for months, because concerns of the traditional banking system losing deposits to increasingly attractive, yet potentially more risky and less sustainable stablecoin yields generate financial stability worries. Additionally, the commander-in-chief’s personal business dealings in the industry have led certain lawmakers in the opposing political party to demand tighter standards related to elected officials benefiting from the modern sector. Finally, participants in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets assign 40% odds of the measure becoming law in 2026.

Spain CPI Expected at 104.63

Tomorrow’s revision to Spain’s Consumer Price Index is expected be 104.63, reflecting 0.7% month-over-month and 4.3% year-over-year increases. The historical tendency for this indicator to arrive near its preliminary release have the contractions with 104 and 105 thresholds generally out of reach in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets, with those “Yeses” going for $0.97 and $0.03.

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Sept. 14, 2026. 

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