- Solve real problems with our hands-on interface
- Progress from basic puts and calls to advanced strategies
Interactive Options Course
Posted April 22, 2026 at 12:51 pm
Tomorrow’s weekly economic index is expected to reflect that activity is reaccelerating in the current quarter even as oil prices and interest rates are elevated compared to a few months ago. The last four of five weeks have produced results north of 2.6% and forecasters expect a figure at that lofty level once again with a 59% probability. Meanwhile, the last two of four weeks have come in above 2.8%, and participants price the “Yes” at 24% there for the upcoming print. Under, however, there’s just a 21% likelihood of a number equal to or less than 2.4%.
Similarly, initial unemployment claims are expected to remain subdued, reflecting healthy labor and economic conditions. Forecasters are looking for another number around 210k, with the “Yes” at that threshold priced at $0.53 after last week’s print came in at 207k. Over and under, the 220k “Yes” and the 200k “No” are going for $0.18 and $0.16. Economist expectations are anchored well to 210k as well, which is the median estimate in the weekly Reuters poll, against the backdrop of minimum and maximum values of 205k and 220k.
Source for images: ForecastEx
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of April 22, 2026.
To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders’ Academy video here
Information posted on IBKR Campus that is provided by third-parties does NOT constitute a recommendation that you should contract for the services of that third party. Third-party participants who contribute to IBKR Campus are independent of Interactive Brokers and Interactive Brokers does not make any representations or warranties concerning the services offered, their past or future performance, or the accuracy of the information provided by the third party. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This material is from IBKR Macroeconomics, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers LLC, and is being posted with its permission. The views expressed in this material are solely those of the author and/or IBKR Macroeconomics and Interactive Brokers is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the material. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any security. It should not be construed as research or investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security or commodity. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
Interactive Brokers LLC is a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and a clearing member and affiliate of ForecastEx LLC (“ForecastEx”). ForecastEx is a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization. Interactive Brokers LLC provides access to ForecastEx Forecast Contracts for eligible customers. Interactive Brokers LLC does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.
This is commentary on economic, political and/or market conditions within the meaning of CFTC Regulation 1.71, and is not meant provide sufficient information upon which to base a decision to enter into a derivatives transaction.
Related Articles
Join The Conversation
For specific platform feedback and suggestions, please submit it directly to our team using these instructions.
If you have an account-specific question or concern, please reach out to Client Services.
We encourage you to look through our FAQs before posting. Your question may already be covered!