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Posted February 9, 2026 at 12:56 pm
Tomorrow’s Department of Energy weekly report is almost certainly going to reflect an increase in retail charges at the pump in the seven-day period ended today. Looking at the positively correlated gasoline and crude oil futures prices throughout the period show a sharp rise in costs, which signal a raise from the prior print’s $2.87 per gallon to around $2.92. Against this backdrop there are undervalued contracts to position in if you agree with my analysis. Indeed, the “Yeses” at $2.60, $2.70 and $2.80 appear significantly discounted in my opinion at $0.96, $0.96 and $0.95 as well as the “No at $3.00 which is at $0.95. Additionally, for those with a higher risk tolerance, the “Yes” at $2.90 for $0.14 may also be compelling.
Source for images: ForecastEx
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Feb. 9, 2026. Red circles around the thresholds were inserted by J. Torres to highlight “Yes” and “No” answers throughout different levels.
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The options market indicates buyers remain in control of the market, which likely means there’s a decent bid for energy.
Not sure what to do with that information, 0.96 bid is actually 0.99 offer, with only 10$ of liquidity. So you’re looking at an astounding 0.10$ profit if you sweep the order book.