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Mayor Eric Adams Loses Ground in IBKR Prediction Market: July 24, 2025

Mayor Eric Adams Loses Ground in IBKR Prediction Market: July 24, 2025

Posted July 24, 2025 at 11:45 am

Jose Torres
IBKR Macroeconomics

Mayor Eric Adams’ chances of winning the New York City Mayoral election have plunged from 33% earlier this month to only 7% as of this morning, according to the IBKR prediction market.

Meanwhile, the marketplace shows that the likelihoods of Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani and former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo earning the keys to Gracie Mansion are stabilizing near 70% and 20%. Adams’ probability began to sink as Cuomo’s odds climbed early in the month, leading to the former governor jumping ahead of the current mayor and firmly into second place on July 16.

Source for Images: ForecastEx

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of July 24, 2025.

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3 thoughts on “Mayor Eric Adams Loses Ground in IBKR Prediction Market: July 24, 2025”

  • Charles Hargrove

    What about Curtis Sliwa?

  • Forever

    Damn Curious Curtis! Nobody wants him to be mayor of this city unless you do? Write him in, start a petition and see how far you get with that! Convicted Rapist and Con Artist Trump called Zohan a communist! A communist? Are you kidding me?

  • America First

    Zohan is worse than a Communist.

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