Close Navigation
Will Friday’s PCE Test the Bull Market?

Will Friday’s PCE Test the Bull Market?

Posted May 28, 2026 at 11:45 am

Jim Iuorio
CME Group

To watch this video you must accept functional cookies.

Over Memorial Day weekend, early optimism regarding the Middle East briefly pushed crude oil below $90 and S&P 500 futures near 7,570 before geopolitical realities reversed those moves. The market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between AI-driven productivity gains and oil-induced inflation risks.

Jim Iuorio of JI Financial examines how equity resilience faces a major test with Friday’s PCE report. Expectations call for inflation to rise to 3.8% (up from 3.5%). If the print flirts with the 4% threshold, it could complicate the outlook for new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh. While AI continues to provide a massive tailwind, the market’s next leg higher possibly hinges on contained inflation and key S&P and WTI levels.

Originally Posted May 26, 2026

Join The Conversation

For specific platform feedback and suggestions, please submit it directly to our team using these instructions.

If you have an account-specific question or concern, please reach out to Client Services.

We encourage you to look through our FAQs before posting. Your question may already be covered!

Leave a Reply

Disclosure: CME Group

© [2023] CME Group Inc. All rights reserved. This information is reproduced by permission of CME Group Inc. and its affiliates under license. CME Group Inc. and its affiliates accept no liability or responsibility for the information contained herein, including but not limited to the currency, accuracy and/or completeness of this information, and delays, interruptions, errors or omissions. This information is an unofficial copy and may not reflect the official and accurate version. For the definitive and up-to-date version of any of this information, please see cmegroup.com.

Disclosure: Interactive Brokers Third Party

Information posted on IBKR Campus that is provided by third-parties does NOT constitute a recommendation that you should contract for the services of that third party. Third-party participants who contribute to IBKR Campus are independent of Interactive Brokers and Interactive Brokers does not make any representations or warranties concerning the services offered, their past or future performance, or the accuracy of the information provided by the third party. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

This material is from CME Group and is being posted with its permission. The views expressed in this material are solely those of the author and/or CME Group and Interactive Brokers is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the material. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any security. It should not be construed as research or investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security or commodity. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

Disclosure: Futures Trading

Futures are not suitable for all investors. The amount you may lose may be greater than your initial investment. Before trading futures, please read the CFTC Risk Disclosure. A copy and additional information are available at ibkr.com.

Disclosure: Options on Futures Risk Disclaimer (U.S.)

Trading options on futures contracts involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Selling (writing) options on futures exposes the seller to potentially unlimited risk of loss, as the seller may be required to fulfill the terms of the contract if the market moves unfavorably. Losses can exceed the initial margin or premium received. Before engaging in short options strategies on futures, you should carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. You must fully understand the risks involved, including the possibility of losing more than your initial investment. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the National Futures Association (NFA) require that you receive and review the Options Disclosure Document (ODD) before trading options on futures. This document explains the characteristics and risks of options trading.

IBKR Campus Newsletters

This website uses cookies to collect usage information in order to offer a better browsing experience. By browsing this site or by clicking on the "ACCEPT COOKIES" button you accept our Cookie Policy.