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Posted March 10, 2026 at 9:44 am
Briefing.com Summary:
The stock market had a tough start to the week on Monday, but ultimately recovered from the early pressure as crude oil backtracked from its highest level since mid-2022. Monday’s intraday rebound will be put to a test today, considering futures on the S&P 500 trade 14 points below fair value after a night that saw gains in equity markets in Asia and Europe.
Yesterday’s intraday bounce received encouragement from a pullback in the price of oil, which continued during the overnight session. WTI crude is down $6.91, or 7.3%, at $87.87/bbl, trading about $3/bbl below its settlement level from last week. President Trump offered some reassurances last evening, saying that the U.S. military campaign in Iran is ahead of target and could be over soon. The president also said that he is considering taking over the Strait of Hormuz, where France is reportedly setting up a ship escort mission to normalize traffic through the chokepoint.
The market will remain attentive to Iran-related headlines, though price action in the oil market will help shape overall sentiment, given the limited flow of economic data.
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, which was released this morning, showed a dip to 98.8 (Briefing.com consensus 99.5) from 99.3, while the 10:00 ET release of the Existing Home Sales report for February (Briefing.com consensus 3.88 mln; prior 3.91 mln) is expected to show a deceleration in the pace of sales.
Later in the day, the U.S. Treasury will kick off this week’s note and bond auction slate with a $58 bln 3-yr note sale at 13:00 ET. Treasuries are mixed this morning with relative strength up front and some underperformance in the long bond while the 10-yr yield is down one basis point at 4.13%.
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This material is from Briefing.com and is being posted with its permission. The views expressed in this material are solely those of the author and/or Briefing.com and Interactive Brokers is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the material. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any security. It should not be construed as research or investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security or commodity. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
Futures are not suitable for all investors. The amount you may lose may be greater than your initial investment. Before trading futures, please read the CFTC Risk Disclosure. A copy and additional information are available at ibkr.com.
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