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Posted August 14, 2025 at 1:07 pm
Tomorrow’s retail sales report is expected to show a 0.5% month-over-month increase for July, but my estimate is way higher at 0.8%. Meanwhile, I don’t think the number will be less than 0% or above 2.7%, so I like the risk-reward profiles of the “Yes” at $0.89 and the “No” at 2.7% for $0.96.
Industrial production is expected to post an increase of 1.5% year over year and I don’t think a big miss is in the cards, although I do think that it can significantly beat to the upside. I like the “Yeses” from -1% all the way up to 0.5%, which are ranging from $0.96 to $0.85 in cost.
Source for Images: ForecastEx
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of August 14, 2025. Red circle around the thresholds was inserted by J. Torres to highlight his preferred “Yes” answers throughout different levels.
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My first time to try this Forcast trader. I went with the yes on two contracts but I do not see how you can pick the various options laid out by your firm . I had to pick 0.8 when your recondition included several different options circled in red Regards Gerry Runolfson
Hi Gerry, thank you for reaching out. Can you please describe the issue that you are experiencing in more detail, so we can best assist?