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Southbound Connect Net Inflow Hits New Daily Record, Week in Review

Posted August 15, 2025 at 11:15 am

Brendan Ahern
KraneShares

Week in Review

  • Asian equities were mostly higher this week as the US extended the tariff deadline for China again, as Mainland China and Japan outperformed, while Thailand and the Philippines underperformed.
  • Internet earnings kicked off this week as Tencent, JD.com, Weibo, and Vipshop beat estimates, while NetEase announced a slight miss for the second quarter.
  • Overcapacity curbs progressed this week, as CATL announced the closing of a key China lithium mine. However, China’s consumer price index (CPI) for July remained flat, indicating more work to be done to stimulate inflation,  which is a key goal of the curbs, along with adding goodwill in trade negotiations.
  • Semiconductor stocks had a good week, despite Nvidia reentering China’s market, as  China urged companies to source chips from local sources because the US government is somehow now taking a cut of Nvidia and others’ China revenues.
  • In our latest video, Xiabing takes us to the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai.

Friday’s Key News

Asian equities were mixed overnight as Mainland China and Japan outperformed, while Hong Kong and Vietnam underperformed.

Hong Kong’s market was flooded by an absolutely massive session of buying from Mainland investors via Southbound Stock Connect on broad weakness. Mainland investors purchased a staggering net $4.6 billion worth of Hong Kong-listed stocks and ETFs overnight, a new record since data became available in December of 2016 and six times the one-year average! Southbound flows have picked up significantly this year and are already above the total net inflow for 2024. This is owed to various factors, including structural adjustments leading to more stock ownership, the Mainland’s lag versus onshore this year, and positioning ahead of a potential increase in yields in China, which could happen if inflation is triggered.

Alibaba fell -3 %, and Meituan fell -2 %, as they were Hong Kong’s second and third most-traded stocks by value overnight. Alibaba will report earnings next week. Internet earnings have so far been better than expected, as major hits to net income from instant commerce price war have mostly been averted. Meanwhile, Tencent’s spending on AI also did not hit its bottom line too badly.

There was a slight value bias in Hong Kong overnight, as the Hang Seng Index ended a three-day winning streak. Technology and large caps were under pressure. Mainland did well, as the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and the STAR Market all managed healthy gains.

Consumer lending fintech platform Qifu Technology reported Q2 earnings last night. Borrowers on the platform increased +15% year-over-year in the second quarter, reaching 36.8 million. Total outstanding loan value also increased +13%. This is positive for the consumer. Consumers need to borrow more and the government’s recent encouragement of borrowing by offering to fund consumer loans could benefit Qifu and other fintech platforms. China’s consumers have always been wary of borrowing, unlike their American counterparts, preferring to save and spend with cash. That could be changing somewhat. Platforms like Qifu are important bellwethers because they act like credit cards do in the United States.

Last Night’s Performance

Country / IndexTicker1-Day Change
China (Hong Kong)HSI Index-1%
Hang Seng TechHSTECH Index-0.6%
Hong Kong TurnoverHKTurn Index15.8%
Hong Kong Short Sale TurnoverHKSST Index90.4%
Short Turnover as a % of Hong Kong TurnoverN/A20.8%
Southbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)N/A4,581.91
China (Shanghai)SHCOMP Index0.8%
China (Shenzhen)SZCOMP Index1.7%
China (STAR Board)Star50 Index1.4%
Mainland Turnover.chturn Index-1.5%
Northbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)N/ANot Available
Jing Daily China Global Luxury IndexCHINALUX Index0.1%
JapanNKY Index1.7%
IndiaSENSEX Index0.1%
IndonesiaJCI Index-0.4%
MalaysiaFBMKLCI Index-0.3%
PakistanKSE100 Index-0.2%
PhilippinesPCOMP Index0.4%
South KoreaKOSPI Index0%
TaiwanTWSE Index0.4%
ThailandSET Index-0.6%
SingaporeSTI Index-0.6%
AustraliaAS51 Index0.7%
VietnamVNINDEX Index-0.7%
IndicatorHong KongMainland
Today’s Volume as % of 1-Year Average96151
Advancing Stocks25 (Hang Seng)211 (CSI 300)
Declining Stocks60 (Hang Seng)81 (CSI 300)
Outperforming FactorsValueLarge Caps
Underperforming FactorsGrowthSmall Caps
Top SectorsMaterials, Health Care, Real EstateReal Estate, Materials, Information Technology
Bottom SectorsConsumer Discretionary, Industrials, FinancialsUtilities, Consumer Staples, Energy
Top SubsectorsConsumer Services, Health Care Equipment, AerospaceSecurities Brokerage, Power Generation, Morotcycles
Bottom SubsectorsCommercial & Professional Services, Banks, ConglomeratesBanks, Soft Drinks, Telecom
Southbound Connect BuysAlibaba, Tencent, MeituanN/A
Southbound Connect SellsN/AN/A
MSCI China All Shares Index# of StocksAverage 1-Day Change (%)
Hong Kong Listed151-0.42
Communication Services90.09
Consumer Discretionary28-1.66
Consumer Staples130.66
Energy7-0.62
Financials23-0.79
Health Care132.09
Industrials20-0.96
Information Technology100.2
Materials102.64
Real Estate61.03
Utilities120.03
Mainland China Listed4040.74
Communication Services60.67
Consumer Discretionary310.67
Consumer Staples24-0.19
Energy130
Financials640.67
Health Care310.4
Industrials640.86
Information Technology911.28
Materials581.53
Real Estate61.89
Utilities16-0.22
US & Hong Kong Dually ListedTicker1-Day Change (%)
Tencent HK700 HK Equity0.3
Alibaba HK9988 HK Equity-3
JD.com HK9618 HK Equity-3.4
NetEase HK9999 HK Equity-3.7
Yum China HK9987 HK Equity-1.3
Baozun HK9991 HK Equity0.7
Baidu HK9888 HK Equity-1
Autohome HK2518 HK Equity-2.2
Bilibili HK9626 HK Equity2
Trip.com HK9961 HK Equity0.4
EDU HK9901 HK Equity3.2
Xpeng HK9868 HK Equity-0.3
Weibo HK9898 HK Equity9.9
Li Auto HK2015 HK Equity-0.9
Nio Auto HK9866 HK Equity0.4
Zhihu HK2390 HK Equity-0.5
KE HK2423 HK Equity-0.7
Tencent Music Entertainment HK1698 HK Equity-0.9
Meituan HK3690 HK Equity-2.2
Hong Kong’s Most Heavily Traded by Value1-Day Change (%)
TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD0.3
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD-3
MEITUAN-CLASS B-2.2
XIAOMI CORP-CLASS B-0.7
SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURI-H1.4
HUA HONG SEMICONDUCTOR LTD-H5.2
JD.COM INC-CLASS A-3.4
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE CO-H3.1
PING AN INSURANCE GROUP CO-H-0.5
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK-H-2.3
Shanghai and Shenzhen’s Most Heavily Traded by Value1-Day Change (%)
VISUAL CHINA GROUP CO LTD-A1.7
SHANTUI CONSTRUCTION MACHI-A1.4
EAST MONEY INFORMATION CO-A9.9
CITIC SECURITIES CO-A4.9
HITHINK ROYALFLUSH INFORMA-A16.3
BEIJING COMPASS TECHNOLOGY-A20
FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNE-A3.8
CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES-A-2.7
WOLONG ELECTRIC GROUP CO L-A10
EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY INC L-A0.9

Last Night’s Exchange Rates, Prices, & Yields

  • CNY per USD 7.18 versus 7.18 yesterday
  • CNY per EUR 8.39 versus 8.36 yesterday
  • Yield on 10-Year Government Bond 1.75% versus 1.73% yesterday
  • Yield on 10-Year China Development Bank Bond 1.86% versus 1.85% yesterday
  • Copper Price -0.08%
  • Steel Price -0.41%

Originally Posted on August 15, 2025 – Southbound Connect Net Inflow Hits New Daily Record, Week in Review

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