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Event Trading

Introduction

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Forecast and Event Contracts enable investors to trade their opinion on specific yes-or-no questions on economic indicators such as the Consumer Price Index and the Fed Funds Rate, climate indicators including temperatures and atmospheric CO2, key futures markets including energy, metals, and equity indexes.

ForecastEx Forecast Contracts

Forecast Contracts let you trade your view on the outcomes of various economic, government and environmental indicators, elections and tight races.

Each contract pays USD 1.00 at expiry if expiring in-the-money, and your max profit per contract is USD 1.00 minus the premium you paid to purchase the contract. Forecast Contracts are quoted in USD 0.01 increments.

ForecastEx Website: https://forecastex.com/

CME Event Contracts

CME event contracts let you trade your view on whether the price of key futures markets will move up or down by the end of each day’s trading session.

Each contract pays USD 1.00 at expiry if expiring in-the-money, and your max profit per contract is USD 1.00 minus the premium you paid to purchase the contract (plus fees and commissions). CME event contracts are quoted in USD 0.01 increments.

CME Event Contract Website: https://www.cmegroup.com/activetrader/event-contracts.html

Other Functionality

  • Event Contracts fundamentally behave like Options or Futures Options. As a result, instrument rules, position information, and instrument-specific behavior will follow the same presentation in the Trader Workstation as those other instruments.
  • Market Scanners are not currently available to research Event Contracts. Users will need to discover Event Contract symbols through Interactive Brokers’ Prediction Markets.