Yes, positions can be exited before the event occurs. However, the ability to sell a contract depends on market liquidity and available prices at the time.
Can I exit a position before the event occurs?
Yes, you can place orders on an IBKR trading platform at any time, including the weekend. However, the orders will not submit to the exchange until the exchange opens for trading (including pre-market where available). …
Event Contracts are priced in dollars and quoted in small increments, with prices generally between about $0.01 and $0.99, depending on the market's perceived likelihood. A higher "Yes" price typically indicates the market views the event as more likely, based on real-time trading…
What is an event contract?
An event contract is a standardized, exchange-listed contract that lets you take a Yes/No position on the outcome of a specific, measurable event. For example, you can trade on whether a particular asset's price will be above a certain level at a set time. Each contract settles at a fixed value if the event happens ("Yes") and at zero if it does not ("No"). You can trade event contracts on Interactive Brokers through the Prediction Markets platform…
How does an event contract pay out?
Each contract is binary. It settles at its full contract value if the event resolves "Yes" and at zero if it resolves "No." Prices trade between those two endpoints (commonly quoted from about $0.01 up to $0.99 per contract), so the price at any moment reflects the market's estimate of how likely the event is to occur. A contract trading at $0.60, for example, implies roughly a 60% market-implied probability of a "Yes" outcome…