IBKR Prediction Markets event contracts examples include inflation indicators, interest-rate targets, and growth-related metrics (depending on what is listed). Each contract is tied to a clear event question and a defined resolution process.
What economic topics can Event Contracts cover?
Powered by IBot
What are Prediction Markets?
IBKR Prediction Markets offers exchange-listed event contracts that allow you to trade on yes-or-no outcomes across categories such as politics (including eligible U.S. elections), economics, finance, and climate indicators. At expiration, these contracts either settle at $0 or $1, depending on the outcome…
What are economic prediction markets?
Economic prediction markets are markets where participants trade yes/no event contracts on measurable economic outcomes such as inflation thresholds, rate decisions, or recession timing. IBKR Prediction Markets examples include questions tied to CPI and the Fed Funds Target Rate…
What are US election prediction markets?
US election prediction markets are markets where eligible participants trade Yes/No contracts tied to US election outcomes, with prices updating as information changes. On IBKR Prediction Markets, these are event contracts presented as clear, outcome-based questions with fixed settlement values…
Short-Term and Volatile Event Contracts: The Basics
What is an event contract?
An event contract is a standardized, exchange-listed contract that lets you take a Yes/No position on the outcome of a specific, measurable event. For example, you can trade on whether a particular asset's price will be above a certain level at a set time. Each contract settles at a fixed value if the event happens ("Yes") and at zero if it does not ("No"). You can trade event contracts on Interactive Brokers through the Prediction Markets platform…