{"id":175593,"date":"2020-09-01T19:30:00","date_gmt":"2020-09-01T23:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/trading-lessons\/interest-rate-risk-and-central-bank-support\/"},"modified":"2025-03-28T12:23:20","modified_gmt":"2025-03-28T16:23:20","slug":"interest-rate-risk-and-central-bank-support","status":"publish","type":"trading-lessons","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/trading-lessons\/interest-rate-risk-and-central-bank-support\/","title":{"rendered":"Interest Rate Risk and Central Bank Support"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Now that&nbsp;we\u2019ve&nbsp;covered some of the fundamental factors that can affect a corporate debt issuer\u2019s creditworthiness, this lesson we\u2019ll explore&nbsp;interest rate risk&nbsp;\u2014&nbsp;another major area of concern&nbsp;in the corporate bond market.<\/p>\n<p>When an investor decides to purchase a corporate bond, it is important to monitor how interest rates may move over time. This is generally because prices of bonds, as well as an issuer\u2019s borrowing costs, not only fluctuate with interest rate changes, but can also ultimately influence levels of supply and demand in the market.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"half aligncenter wp-image-2504 size-medium lazyload\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/01\/into-to-corp-bonds_lesson-4_1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 960px; aspect-ratio: 960\/540;\"><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Since corporate bond investments are considered riskier than U.S. Treasuries, investors are typically&nbsp;compensated for this risk&nbsp;in the price of the investment. This compensation is often known as the \u201cyield spread\u201d or the \u201cbasis point spread\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>While the maturity of the issuance, as well as the issuer\u2019s creditworthiness, and bond\u2019s liquidity each play a significant role in determining how much risk an investor will assume,&nbsp;interest rate movements themselves&nbsp;will also directly affect the value of a bond. A corporate bond investor will therefore&nbsp;make a judgment about the direction&nbsp;of interest rates before making a purchase.<\/p>\n<p>For example:<\/p>\n<p><em>If&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;sold a 10-year note at 3% when the yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was at 1%, and the yield on the Treasury later rose&nbsp;to 1.5% \u2013 notwithstanding any other&nbsp;changes&nbsp;\u2013 the yield on the corporate bond would also increase by the same amount, 50 basis points, to 3.5% &#8212; making them less valuable.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In this example, the value of Verizon\u2019s debt fell because corporate bonds have an&nbsp;inverse relationship&nbsp;with interest rates \u2013 meaning,&nbsp;when interest rates rise, the value of the bond falls, and when they decrease, the corporate bond\u2019s value rises.<\/p>\n<p>This effect greatly influences the supply, demand,&nbsp;length of&nbsp;maturity,&nbsp;and pricing dynamics in the primary and secondary markets.<\/p>\n<p><em>If interest rates were to increase to 1.5% from 1%, a corporate bond that was purchased before the increase would appear to be a less attractive investment compared to the issuance priced at the higher rate. To compete with the new issuance, the price on the existing bond \u2013 the one that was bought when rates were 1% \u2014will most likely fall relative to the change in the market. This scenario&nbsp;would be&nbsp;reversed&nbsp;if&nbsp;interest rates declined.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Issuers of corporate debt may also decide to postpone or follow-through with a sale in the primary market depending on where interest rates are perceived to go. Although lower interest rates decrease an issuer\u2019s borrowing costs, for example,&nbsp;if&nbsp;investors&nbsp;think they will likely increase at some later date,&nbsp;there may be&nbsp;less demand for the issuance. However,&nbsp;if investors&nbsp;think rates will remain low, and the yield offered remains attractive, there will likely be ample supply to select from.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"half aligncenter wp-image-2505 size-medium lazyload\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/01\/into-to-corp-bonds_lesson-4_2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 960px; aspect-ratio: 960\/540;\"><\/p>\n<p>To compensate investors for the&nbsp;interest rate risk, long-term bonds generally offer higher interest rates than short-term bonds of the same credit quality. If two bonds offer different coupons, and all other characteristics are the same, the bond with the lower coupon rate will generally be more sensitive to changes in market interest rates.<\/p>\n<p><em>For example, if interest rates rise,&nbsp;the price of a bond carrying a 1% coupon will fall by a greater percentage than that of a bond with a 2% coupon, even if the two bonds have the same maturity and level of credit risk. This is another reason why investors should consider interest rate risk when they purchase bonds in a low-interest rate environment.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the interest rate environment&nbsp;is&nbsp;also&nbsp;subject to&nbsp;central bank monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p>While this topic is a complex issue, the volume of the world\u2019s non-financial corporate debt has generally skyrocketed over the past decade, amid&nbsp;ultra-low, zero, and even negative interest rate policies at several global central banks. These shifts in policy have generally remained in place since&nbsp;the&nbsp;financial crisis of 2008-09 and have generally lowered the cost of corporate borrowing.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2506 size-medium lazyload\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/01\/into-to-corp-bonds_lesson-4_3.jpg\" alt=\"global interest rate policies\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 960px; aspect-ratio: 960\/540;\"><\/p>\n<p>The lower rate environment, combined with several variations of quantitative easing (QE)&nbsp;measures at certain central banks, including the&nbsp;U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, have also generally&nbsp;spurred investors to assume more risk &#8212; this as government bonds have risen in price.&nbsp;However,&nbsp;QE\u2019s effects of flooding the financial system with liquidity&nbsp;have also&nbsp;been blamed by many in the market for&nbsp;inflating asset prices&nbsp;and creating&nbsp;massive debt bubbles.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2507 lazyload\" data-src=\"\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/01\/into-to-corp-bonds_lesson-4_4.jpg\" alt=\"corporate bond issuance 2007-2019\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 960px; aspect-ratio: 960\/540;\"><\/p>\n<p>Against this backdrop,&nbsp;overseas-based&nbsp;bond investors&nbsp;who&nbsp;have grappled with higher prices in their local primary markets, or have a dearth of available corporate issuance, have&nbsp;generally turned&nbsp;instead to the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;fixed income markets&nbsp;for more attractive yields&nbsp;\u2013 prompting steady demand for the&nbsp;groundswell of corporate issuance&nbsp;over the past several years.<\/p>\n<p>The&nbsp;more&nbsp;recent&nbsp;Covid-19&nbsp;crisis had also spurred the&nbsp;Federal Reserve&nbsp;to commit to several unprecedented actions to help prop-up the financial system and the economy, including implementing corporate credit facilities for the primary and secondary markets, which were meant&nbsp;to purchase investment-grade bonds,&nbsp;and, under certain&nbsp;conditions,&nbsp;fallen angels, as well as&nbsp;certain&nbsp;U.S.-listed, fixed income-related&nbsp;exchange-traded funds (ETFs).<\/p>\n<p>While uncertainties persist over how the Fed\u2019s and other global central banks\u2019 policies may be affecting the U.S. corporate bond market, it is clear they have held sway over its supply, demand, and price dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, should interest rates rise from their depressed levels, along with inflationary increases stemming from the added, central bank-injected liquidity in the financial system, corporate bond holders will also see their investments fall in value to the same extent as the interest rate moves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This lesson homes in on how interest rates affect the value, and ultimately the supply and demand levels, of corporate bonds, as well as how certain central banks have had a significant influence over activity in the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":899,"featured_media":220983,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"contributors-categories":[13576],"traders-academy":[13125,13128,13132],"class_list":["post-175593","trading-lessons","type-trading-lessons","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","contributors-categories-interactive-brokers","traders-academy-beginner-trading","traders-academy-level","traders-academy-trading-lesson"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Archives | Traders&#039; Academy | IBKR Campus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"When an investor decides to purchase a corporate bond, it is important to monitor how interest rates may move over 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