{"id":63719,"date":"2020-10-22T11:10:41","date_gmt":"2020-10-22T15:10:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/?p=63719"},"modified":"2022-11-21T09:46:30","modified_gmt":"2022-11-21T14:46:30","slug":"preparing-for-a-vaccine-with-call-options","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/options\/preparing-for-a-vaccine-with-call-options\/","title":{"rendered":"Preparing for a Vaccine With Call Options"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The gods must have an evil sense of humor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Covid-19 has forced tens of millions of people to spend more time than ever before at home\u2014often glued to TVs or computer screens\u2014and everyone is under a nearly constant assault of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/live-updates-facebook-bans-new-political-ads-during-the-week-before-the-presidential-election-51599139417?mod=inline_article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">nasty political ads<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The content is so grating and outrageous that PsyOps warriors could stream the ads to psychologically weaken enemy combatants instead of blaring hysterically crying babies. By Nov. 3, the nastiness may end\u2014or begin anew\u2014when the world learns whether Donald Trump will remain president or if Joe Biden, his Democratic challenger, will succeed him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many polls&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/polls-show-biden-holding-on-to-lead-over-trump-going-into-final-debate-51603112080?mod=inline_article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">predict that Biden will win<\/a>, and some suggest that Trump\u2019s loss will be profound. It\u2019s dangerous to be overconfident, though much of Wall Street now is. When Trump last ran, Hillary Clinton was expected to trounce him\u2014and the Street was wrong in a \u201cDewey Beats Truman\u201d kind of way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s time to start looking past the political theater to what happens next. Eventually, Covid-19 will be&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/pfizer-moderna-covid-19-vaccines-could-take-critical-next-step-in-november-51603217495?mod=inline_article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">controlled by a vaccine<\/a>. When that happens, restaurants will once more flourish, people will travel, and the financial and commercial real estate sectors will probably normalize.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Without a doubt, wagering on vaccines, like much pharmaceutical-sector investing, is hard for anyone without specialized scientific knowledge. The key to covering the knowledge gap is focusing on the companies that would benefit from a vaccine and finding a reasonably cost-effective way to invest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>John Marshall, a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/GS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Goldman Sachs<\/a>&nbsp;derivatives strategist, recently advised clients to consider 35 stocks that would benefit when the economy fully reopens. The stocks have trailed the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/index\/SPX\">S&amp;P 500 index<\/a>&nbsp;by about 10% over the past month and about 48% this year. \u201cThe reopening trade does not appear crowded,\u201d Marshall wrote in a recent note.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Goldman\u2019s \u201cPositive Reopening Reactors\u201d include&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/AAL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">American Airlines Group&nbsp;<\/a>(ticker: AAL),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/ALK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Alaska Air Group<\/a>&nbsp;(ALK),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/DAL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Delta Air Lines<\/a>&nbsp;(DAL),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/SLG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SL Green Realty<\/a>&nbsp;(SLG),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/UAL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">United Airlines Holdings<\/a>&nbsp;(UAL),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/SPG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Simon Property Group<\/a>&nbsp;(SPG),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/BA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Boeing<\/a>&nbsp;(BA),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/ZION\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Zions Bancorp<\/a>&nbsp;(ZION),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/HST\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Host Hotels &amp; Resorts<\/a>&nbsp;(HST),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/KSS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Kohl&#8217;s<\/a>&nbsp;(KSS),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/KIM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Kimco Realty<\/a>&nbsp;(KIM),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/PVH\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PVH<\/a>&nbsp;(PVH),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/WFC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wells Fargo<\/a>&nbsp;(WFC), and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/HBAN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Huntington Bancshares<\/a>&nbsp;(HBAN).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Others include&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/NCLH\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings<\/a>&nbsp;(NCLH),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/TXT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Textron<\/a>&nbsp;(TXT),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/L\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Loews<\/a>&nbsp;(L),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/BXP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Boston Properties<\/a>&nbsp;(BXP),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/CCL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Carnival<\/a>&nbsp;(CCL),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/FRT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Federal Realty Investment Trust<\/a>&nbsp;(FRT),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/USB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. Bancorp<\/a>&nbsp;(USB),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/JWN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Nordstrom<\/a>&nbsp;(JWN),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/PUK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Prudential<\/a>&nbsp;(PRU),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/UDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">UDR<\/a>&nbsp;(UDR),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/MAR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Marriott International<\/a>&nbsp;(MAR),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/RCL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Royal Caribbean Group<\/a>&nbsp;(&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/RCL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">RCL<\/a>&nbsp;),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/RL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ralph Lauren<\/a>&nbsp;(RL),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/VNO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vornado Realty Trust<\/a>&nbsp;(VNO),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/LUV\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Southwest Airlines<\/a>&nbsp;(LUV),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/CBRE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CBRE Group<\/a>&nbsp;(CBRE),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/REG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Regency Centers<\/a>&nbsp;(REG),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/EQR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Equity Residential<\/a>&nbsp;(EQR),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/RTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Raytheon Technologies<\/a>&nbsp;(RTX),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/ESS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Essex Property Trust<\/a>&nbsp;(ESS), and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/quote\/GE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">General Electric<\/a>&nbsp;(GE).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Goldman told clients to buy bullish&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/how-to-use-options-to-beat-the-market-1477415121?mod=inline_article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">call options<\/a>&nbsp;on the stocks, an approach that costs less than buying equities. (Calls give the holder the right to buy a security at a set price and time.) Timing is key, so look for stocks that are intriguing, choose one-month expirations, and pick strike prices that are 5% to 10% above the stock price. The average 10% out-of-the-money call on the group costs about 2.9% of the stock price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Using calls as stock surrogates is risky. Buying call options on stocks that don\u2019t advance, or that decline, often generates losses. Once a call is bought, be prepared to sell it once it nears expiration and to \u201croll\u201d into the next month, ideally by buying another call that costs less or the same amount. Sometimes, more money is needed to adjust the trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This style of investing isn\u2019t for everyone. It\u2019s hard to identify compelling themes, and cost-effectively control investments, while waiting for the upside to emerge. Those who can, however, often find themselves on the right side of events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted on October 22, 2020 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/these-stocks-could-benefit-from-an-economic-reopening-how-to-play-them-with-options-51603366207\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/these-stocks-could-benefit-from-an-economic-reopening-how-to-play-them-with-options-51603366207?refsec=options\">Preparing for a Vaccine With Call Options<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eventually, Covid-19 will be controlled by a vaccine. When that happens, restaurants will once more flourish, people will travel, and the financial and commercial real estate sectors will probably normalize.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,19,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[3358,6585],"contributors-categories":[13583],"class_list":{"0":"post-63719","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-north-america","7":"category-options","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-call-options","14":"tag-covid-19","15":"contributors-categories-barrons"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Preparing for a Vaccine With Call Options | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Eventually, Covid-19 will be controlled by a vaccine. 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