{"id":260408,"date":"2026-11-02T13:35:27","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T18:35:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=260408"},"modified":"2026-11-02T14:32:56","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T19:32:56","slug":"blue-sweep-hinges-on-the-senate-as-dems-are-at-74-and-have-the-house-in-the-bag","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/blue-sweep-hinges-on-the-senate-as-dems-are-at-74-and-have-the-house-in-the-bag\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Sweep Hinges on the Senate, as Dems Are at 74% and Have the House in the Bag: Nov. 2, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets signal a blue sweep in tomorrow’s elections with a 71% probability. And that development is supported by the Democrats maintaining a lead in the Senate of 74% while the majority in the House of Representatives is essentially in the bag with the GOP having only 9% likelihood of maintaining control of the chamber. Following a win in the White House, the opposing party traditionally gains in subsequent midterm contests. Odds have shifted from the Republicans in light of restrictive immigration policies, geopolitical tensions causing pain at the pump, affordability concerns and elevated interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

JOLTS Expected At 7.1 Million<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Tomorrow\u2019s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey is expected to reflect vacancies of 7.1 million, according to the monthly Reuters poll of 27 forecasters. The range of potential outcomes spans from 7 million to 7.36 million for the September number, while the August figure was 7.08 million. The Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets, meanwhile, carries \u201cYes\u201d pricing of $0.91, $0.17 and $0.09 across the 6.8 million, 7.4 million and 7.6 million thresholds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bank of Australia To Lift<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The Reserve Bank of Australia is highly anticipated to continue hiking in an effort to quell inflation, as this week\u2019s potential increase would be the fifth this year. The Interactive Brokers Prediction Market prices a 93% chance of a lift.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Nov. 2, 2026.<\/a><\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets signal a blue sweep in tomorrow’s elections with a 71% probability.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":214697,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-260408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBlue Sweep Hinges on the Senate, as Dems Are at 74% and Have the House in the Bag: Nov. 2, 2026<\/title>\n<meta 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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/11\/election-voting-featured-img.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=260408"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260408\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":260448,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260408\/revisions\/260448"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/214697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=260408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=260408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=260408"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=260408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}