{"id":256143,"date":"2026-09-14T13:30:14","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T17:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=256143"},"modified":"2026-09-14T14:23:43","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T18:23:43","slug":"chance-of-clarity-act-becoming-law-in-26-at-40-with-senate-preparing-to-vote-tomorrow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/chance-of-clarity-act-becoming-law-in-26-at-40-with-senate-preparing-to-vote-tomorrow\/","title":{"rendered":"Chance of Clarity Act Becoming Law in \u201826 at 40% With Senate Preparing To Vote Tomorrow: Sept. 14, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Senate votes on the Clarity Act tomorrow after President Trump accepted some key ethics components over the weekend. The legislation would establish new guidelines and institute fresh legal infrastructure for cryptocurrencies and digital assets, but with just 53 Republicans in the upper chamber, at least seven Democrats are needed to cast yays for the bill to avoid a filibuster and clear this significant congressional hurdle. The proposal has stalled for months, because concerns of the traditional banking system losing deposits to increasingly attractive, yet potentially more risky and less sustainable stablecoin yields generate financial stability worries. Additionally, the commander-in-chief\u2019s personal business dealings in the industry have led certain lawmakers in the opposing political party to demand tighter standards related to elected officials benefiting from the modern sector. Finally, participants in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets assign 40% odds of the measure becoming law in 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"422\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-55-1100x422.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-256150 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-55-1100x422.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-55-700x268.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-55-300x115.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-55-768x295.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-55.png 1223w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/422;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-spain-cpi-expected-at-104-63\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Spain CPI Expected at 104.63<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tomorrow\u2019s revision to Spain\u2019s Consumer Price Index is expected be 104.63, reflecting 0.7% month-over-month and 4.3% year-over-year increases. The historical tendency for this indicator to arrive near its preliminary release have the contractions with 104 and 105 thresholds generally out of reach in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets, with those \u201cYeses\u201d going for $0.97 and $0.03.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"415\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-56-1100x415.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-256151 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-56-1100x415.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-56-700x264.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-56-300x113.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-56-768x290.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-56.png 1221w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/415;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><strong><em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>Sept. 14, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Senate votes on the Clarity Act tomorrow after President Trump accepted some key ethics components over the weekend. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":250381,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-256143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - 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components over the weekend.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/chance-of-clarity-act-becoming-law-in-26-at-40-with-senate-preparing-to-vote-tomorrow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-14T17:30:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-14T18:23:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/07\/xrp-featured-img.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"667\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jose Torres\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta 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