{"id":255159,"date":"2026-09-01T12:58:11","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T16:58:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=255159"},"modified":"2026-09-01T15:22:43","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T19:22:43","slug":"bank-of-canada-to-hold-steady-at-2-25-with-a-96-degree-of-confidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/bank-of-canada-to-hold-steady-at-2-25-with-a-96-degree-of-confidence\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank of Canada To Hold Steady at 2.25% With a 96% Degree of Confidence: Sept. 1, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank of Canada is expected to keep its benchmark rate steady at 2.25% for its seventh consecutive meeting tomorrow. The monetary policy authority is likely to stay on pause even as inflation has accelerated to 3% and the economy has been improving, with the second quarter producing annualized growth of 3.3%, the highest in three years. The reason for an unchanged level, meanwhile, is that above-target price pressures are almost entirely driven by what could be a temporary lift in energy charges, as the core cost gauge rose to just 2.3% in July from 2.1% in June. The Interactive Brokers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/predictionmarkets\/app\/#\/726203942\/product-details\/contracts?exchange=FORECASTX&amp;conid_yes=876922060\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">IBKR Prediction Markets<\/a> prices the chance of a hike at 4% while a hold carries a 96% probability, as the institution is still attentive to potential drags stemming from weak domestic demand and a complicated trade relationship with Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"417\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-1100x417.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255177 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-1100x417.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-700x265.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image-768x291.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/09\/image.png 1366w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/417;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets. <\/em><strong><em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>September 1, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bank of Canada is expected to keep its benchmark rate steady at 2.25% for its seventh consecutive meeting tomorrow. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":223605,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[2267,570],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-255159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-bank-of-canada","tag-inflation","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bank of Canada To Hold Steady at 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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/canada-flag-featured-img.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=255159"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":255222,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255159\/revisions\/255222"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/223605"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=255159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=255159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=255159"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=255159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}