{"id":254265,"date":"2026-08-21T13:18:30","date_gmt":"2026-08-21T17:18:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=254265"},"modified":"2026-08-21T17:00:37","modified_gmt":"2026-08-21T21:00:37","slug":"27-chance-bitcoin-sees-100k-before-2027-consider-singapores-2-cpi-yes-at-0-51-since-consensus-is-at-2-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/27-chance-bitcoin-sees-100k-before-2027-consider-singapores-2-cpi-yes-at-0-51-since-consensus-is-at-2-3\/","title":{"rendered":"27% Chance Bitcoin Sees 100k Before 2027, Consider Singapore\u2019s 2% CPI \u201cYes\u201d at $0.51, Since Consensus is at 2.3%: Aug. 21, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/predictionmarkets\/app\/#\/853715841\/product-details\/contracts?exchange=KALSHI&amp;conid_yes=853742838\">Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets<\/a> have seen heavy activity related to bitcoin in recent weeks and the cryptocurrency jumped to a 3-month high today just short of 80k. As investors have somewhat rotated out of Treasuries, AI stocks and overall equities in recent sessions, the odds of bitcoin climbing to 100k, 110k or 120k by year-end have risen materially, reaching 32%, 21% and 13% this session before retreating modestly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"415\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture1-1-1100x415.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-254275 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture1-1-1100x415.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture1-1-700x264.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture1-1-300x113.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture1-1-768x290.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture1-1.jpg 1205w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/415;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-potentially-undervalued-cpi-contract-at-2\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Potentially Undervalued CPI Contract at 2%<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Singapore\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to climb from 1.9% year over year in June to 2.3% in July; however, the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market offers the 2% \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/predictionmarkets\/app\/#\/725452888\/product-details\/contracts?exchange=FORECASTX&amp;conid_yes=886424330\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Yes<\/a>\u201d at what I consider to be an undervalued $0.51. The 13 forecasters in the monthly Reuters poll submitted minimum and maximum projections of 2% and 2.5%, indicating that the consensus agrees with that threshold warranting a price closer to $0.80. Furthermore, this indicator carries a subdued deviation rate, as results typically arrive near the median estimate and tend not to surprise much. Over and under, meanwhile, the \u201cYeses\u201d at 1.6% and 2.4% are going for $0.96 and $0.07.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"409\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture2-1-1100x409.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-254276 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture2-1-1100x409.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture2-1-700x260.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture2-1-300x112.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture2-1-768x285.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/08\/Picture2-1.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/409;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>August 21, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Interactive Brokers Prediction Market has seen heavy activity related to bitcoin in recent weeks, as the cryptocurrency jumped to a 3-month high today just short of 80k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":241882,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,3],"tags":[410,22100],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-254265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-traders-insight","tag-bitcoin","tag-interactive-brokers-prediction-markets","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>27% Chance Bitcoin Sees 100k 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