{"id":252189,"date":"2026-07-31T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=252189"},"modified":"2026-08-03T04:09:24","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T08:09:24","slug":"amazon-apple-oil-and-rates-in-momentum-tug-of-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/amazon-apple-oil-and-rates-in-momentum-tug-of-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Amazon, Apple, oil, and rates in momentum tug of war"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Briefing.com Summary:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*Amazon is carrying the market load to begin the day, offsetting weakness in Apple after its disappointing fiscal Q4 revenue guidance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*South Korea&#8217;s Kospi Index soared 17.9% in Friday&#8217;s trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*Oil prices and bond yields are up, creating a headwind of sorts for stocks<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The return of the AI momentum trade seen yesterday after earnings reports from&nbsp;<strong>Microsoft (MSFT)<\/strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<strong>Lam Research (LRCX)<\/strong>&nbsp;is still in play today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To begin, we&#8217;ll direct your attention to South Korea&#8217;s Kospi Index, which soared 17.9%, riding the coattails of&nbsp;<strong>SK Hynix (SKHY)<\/strong>&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics. Beyond that,&nbsp;<strong>Amazon (AMZN)<\/strong>&nbsp;is up 11% after its earnings report, which featured 36.7% year-over-year growth for AWS, which was the fastest growth in 18 quarters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Separately, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei surged 4.0%, getting in on the semiconductor rebound action and also expressing a sigh of relief that the Bank of Japan left its official rate unchanged at around 1.00%, as expected, presumably skirting the risk of a disorderly unwinding of carry-trade positions had the central bank surprised with a rate hike on the heels of yesterday&#8217;s intervention effort by Japan to strengthen the yen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The upside action isn&#8217;t universal, however.&nbsp;<strong>Apple (AAPL)<\/strong>, which is no small company, is down 8% after issuing disappointing fiscal Q4 revenue guidance that it attributed to supply constraints and negative FX effects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The fallout from Apple&#8217;s warning hasn&#8217;t been more pronounced, partly because the market recognizes that its issues have more to do with supply than demand. Still, Apple has the market-cap weight to hang a bit like a wet blanket on the major indices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Currently, the S&amp;P 500 futures are up 10 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 226 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 153 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In a parallel universe, we also spy oil prices (WTI +1.9% to $85.22\/bbl) and Treasury yields moving higher. The 10-yr note yield is up four basis points to 4.70%. These moves, should they persist, have the potential to kill the momentum trade or, certainly, to slow it, so they will be watched carefully by market participants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bulk of the losses for the 10-yr note yield were logged ahead of the 8:30 a.m. ET release of the Q2 Employment Cost Index, and that report invited some additional selling interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Q2 Employment Cost Index increased 0.9% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.8%) on the heels of a 0.9% increase in Q1, with wages and salaries up 0.9% and benefit costs up 1.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The key takeaway from the report is that wages and salaries for civilian workers, up 3.2% year-over-year, are not keeping up with inflation. That could eventually lead to reduced discretionary spending activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Chicago PMI for July (Briefing.com consensus: 56.5; prior 56.7) will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET and will be followed by the final reading for the July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Briefing.com consensus: 54.4; prior 54.4) at 10:00 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Originally Posted July 31, 2026 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/page-one\">Amazon, Apple, oil, and rates in momentum tug of war<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Briefing.com Summary:<\/p>\n<p>*Amazon is carrying the market load to begin the day, offsetting weakness in Apple after its disappointing fiscal Q4 revenue guidance.<\/p>\n<p>*South Korea&#8217;s Kospi Index soared 17.9% in Friday&#8217;s trade.<\/p>\n<p>*Oil prices and bond yields are up, creating a headwind of sorts for stocks<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":23293,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18,6,8,9,22,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13589],"class_list":["post-252189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-stocks","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-briefing-com"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Amazon, Apple, oil, and rates in momentum tug of war<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Briefing.com Summary:*Amazon is carrying the market load to begin the day, offsetting weakness in Apple after its disappointing fiscal Q4 revenue...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/252189\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Amazon, Apple, oil, and rates in momentum tug of war | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Briefing.com Summary:*Amazon is carrying the market load to begin the day, offsetting weakness in Apple after its disappointing fiscal Q4 revenue guidance.*South Korea&#039;s Kospi Index soared 17.9% in Friday&#039;s trade.*Oil prices and bond yields are up, creating a headwind of sorts for stocks\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/amazon-apple-oil-and-rates-in-momentum-tug-of-war\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-31T14:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-03T08:09:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/10\/man-think-stocks-e1681310187284.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1100\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"618\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Patrick J. 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