{"id":250799,"date":"2026-07-21T13:12:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-21T17:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=250799"},"modified":"2026-07-21T16:46:06","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T20:46:06","slug":"singapore-1-8-cpi-yes-contract-potentially-undervalued-in-light-of-2-expectation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/singapore-1-8-cpi-yes-contract-potentially-undervalued-in-light-of-2-expectation\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapore CPI “Yes” Contract at $0.54 Is Likely Undervalued In Light of 2% Expectation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

This week’s Singapore Consumer Price Index is expected to reflect an acceleration from May’s 1.8% year-over-year increase to 2% in June. The nation’s significant reliance on energy imports likely pushed up the rate of inflation as an unchanged figure or a decline is improbable, in my opinion. Against this backdrop, the “Yes” contract<\/a> at 1.8% in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market is priced at what I consider to be an undervalued $0.54, since I believe we are poised to see an uptick. The contract would pay $1 for a CPI print that exceeds 1.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the consensus agrees, as none of the participants in the monthly Reuters poll consisting of 16 forecasters sees a decline, with the minimum and maximum projections standing at 1.9% and 2.3% amidst a median of 2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of July 21, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This week’s Singapore Consumer Price Index is expected to reflect an acceleration from May’s 1.8% year-over-year increase to 2% in June. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":213581,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4,18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[18847],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-250799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-asia","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-singapore-cpi","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSingapore CPI “Yes” Contract at $0.54 Is Likely 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