{"id":249768,"date":"2026-07-10T13:18:53","date_gmt":"2026-07-10T17:18:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=249768"},"modified":"2026-07-10T16:27:17","modified_gmt":"2026-07-10T20:27:17","slug":"consider-the-0-75-6-no-on-singapores-2nd-quarter-gdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/consider-the-0-75-6-no-on-singapores-2nd-quarter-gdp\/","title":{"rendered":"Consider The $0.75 6% \u201cNo\u201d On Singapore\u2019s 2nd Quarter GDP: July 10, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Singapore\u2019s economy likely slowed down in the 2nd<\/sup> quarter, as the US-Iran war weighed on activity by lifting oil prices, raising interest rates and strengthening the greenback. All 14 forecasters in a Reuters poll see a declaration from the first quarter\u2019s 6% year-over-year expansion, with the median estimate at 5.1% amidst minimum and maximum projections of 4.6% and 5.4%. Against this backdrop of an elevated likelihood of moderating growth, the $0.75 \u201cNo<\/a>\u201d Interactive Brokers prediction contract at 6% appears undervalued, in my opinion, as there\u2019s a narrow path to an acceleration to 6.1%. Indeed, even an unchanged result would pay $1.00 on this trade, while a figure of 6.1% or above would generate losses. Finally, this contract settles upon release on of the final, revised statistics on August 24, while this Monday will offer the preliminary reading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of July 10, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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