{"id":249459,"date":"2026-07-08T13:05:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T17:05:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=249459"},"modified":"2026-07-08T13:47:32","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T17:47:32","slug":"consider-the-0-46-no-at-3-for-tomorrows-wei","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/consider-the-0-46-no-at-3-for-tomorrows-wei\/","title":{"rendered":"Consider the $0.46 \u201cNo\u201d at 3% For Tomorrow\u2019s WEI: July 8, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Dallas Fed\u2019s Weekly Economic Index (WEI) has signaled a modest slowdown in recent weeks that is poised to be reflected in tomorrow\u2019s data as well. Indeed, the last two reports arrived at 2.57%, after coming in close to 3% for 5 consecutive prints. Meanwhile, weaker hiring conditions alongside loftier interest rates indicate that a lighter figure is in the cards as the buoyancy of the past several months continues to revert to the mean in the incoming update, but against this backdrop, the \u201cNo\u201d<\/a> at 3% is going for just $0.46. I consider the price to be significantly undervalued as it should be closer to $0.80, in light of a 2026 average of 2.67% amidst declining momentum in the present. The $0.34 and $0.83 \u201cNos\u201d at 2.8% and 3.2% are also attractive in my opinion.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trump Greenland Remarks at NATO Summit Lift Odds<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Odds of a sovereignty transfer of Greenland jumped from 19% to 25%<\/a> during the past few days after President Trump said at the NATO Summit in Ankara that the US needs to control the territory \u201cfor the protection of the world\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of July 8, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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