{"id":248687,"date":"2026-06-30T13:14:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T17:14:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=248687"},"modified":"2026-06-30T13:56:49","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T17:56:49","slug":"euro-cpi-expected-to-have-peaked-in-may-at-3-2-as-tomorrows-3-yes-goes-for-just-0-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/euro-cpi-expected-to-have-peaked-in-may-at-3-2-as-tomorrows-3-yes-goes-for-just-0-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro CPI Expected To Have Peaked in May at 3.2% as Tomorrow\u2019s 3% \u201cYes\u201d Goes for Just $0.24: June 30, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There\u2019s a strong expectation that global inflation rates peaked in May, when the impact of the crude oil spike driven from the US-Iran war lifted annualized measures significantly around the world. Tomorrow\u2019s eurozone Consumer Price Index is anticipated to reflect just that, as last month\u2019s figure of 3.2% is expected to retreat to 3% for June. Indeed, the monthly Reuters poll of 42 forecasters carries a median of 3%, amidst minimum and maximum entries of 2.8% and 3.2%. The Interactive Brokers prediction market is foreseeing a steeper drop, meanwhile, as the \u201cYeses\u201d at 2.6%, 3% and 3.4% are going for $0.90, $0.24 and $0.07, signaling a central projection of 2.9%. The undervalued trade, in my opinion, however, is a \u201cYes\/No\u201d combination at 2.6% and 3.4%, because the path to a number that low, or that high, is extremely narrow, in my view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"419\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-1100x419.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-248689 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-1100x419.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-700x267.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-768x293.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-92-2048x780.png 2048w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/419;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>June 30, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s a strong expectation that global inflation rates peaked in May, when the impact of the crude oil spike driven from the US-Iran war lifted annualized measures significantly around the world. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":209078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5,18929,18,8,9,26,3],"tags":[21841],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-248687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-europe-middle-east-africa","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-europe-cpi","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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