{"id":248497,"date":"2026-06-29T12:50:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T16:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=248497"},"modified":"2026-06-29T13:36:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T17:36:03","slug":"jolts-7-2-million-0-38yes-would-require-a-sharp-decline-from-7-618-million-to-lose","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/jolts-7-2-million-0-38yes-would-require-a-sharp-decline-from-7-618-million-to-lose\/","title":{"rendered":"JOLTS 7.2 Million $0.38 \u201cYes\u201d Would Require a Sharp Decline From 7.618 Million to Lose: June 29, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Participants in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market are pretty sure job openings will see a sharp retreat in tomorrow\u2019s 10:00 a.m. print following April\u2019s 23-month high of 7.618 million, with the \u201cYes\u201d at 7.4 million going for just $0.29. Similarly, of the 14 forecasters participating in the monthly Reuters poll, the maximum projection stands at 7.605 million against the backdrop of minimum and median estimates of 6.9 million and 7.3 million. From a historical perspective, this indicator carries an elevated deviation rate, and could vary wildly from what prognosticators envision, and an upside beat featuring a notable climb would add meaningful evidence that strengthens the case that labor conditions are on fire. Such a result would be a significant surprise to Wall Street and materially lift Fed-hike expectations. Meanwhile, the undervalued trade, in my opinion, is the \u201cYes\u201d at 7.2 million, which is priced at only $0.38, as an in-line figure or one that modestly misses the consensus mark of 7.3 million would still deliver a $1.00 payback to investors, amounting to a return north of 150%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of June 29, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Participants in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market are pretty sure job openings will see a sharp retreat in tomorrow\u2019s 10:00 a.m. print following April\u2019s 23-month high of 7.618 million, with the \u201cYes\u201d at 7.4 million going for just $0.29. 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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/01\/hiring-featured-img.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248497","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=248497"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248497\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":248527,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248497\/revisions\/248527"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/217242"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=248497"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=248497"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=248497"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=248497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}