{"id":244232,"date":"2026-06-15T15:57:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T19:57:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=244232"},"modified":"2026-06-15T17:18:39","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T21:18:39","slug":"housing-starts-permits-expected-above-1-4-million","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/housing-starts-permits-expected-above-1-4-million\/","title":{"rendered":"Housing Starts, Permits, Expected Above 1.4 Million: June 15, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Housing starts and permits are each expected to exceed 1.4 million seasonally adjusted annualized units in tomorrow\u2019s print with the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market pointing to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/predictionmarkets\/app\/#\/658663562\/product-details\/contracts?exchange=FORECASTX&amp;conid_yes=890121531\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">83%<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/predictionmarkets\/app\/#\/712856702\/product-details\/contracts?exchange=FORECASTX&amp;conid_yes=878714274\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">70%<\/a> chances of the metrics surpassing that threshold. The results are anticipated to arrive in the ballpark of the year-to-date and 12-month averages of 1.43 million and 1.37 million for starts, respectively, and 1.43 million and 1.42 million for permits. Construction has not returned to the robust levels that occurred after the pandemic, as mortgage expenses are too elevated on a relative basis while valuations have ramped up materially. This morning\u2019s miss on homebuilder sentiment additionally reflected those headwinds, with the 34-print coming in far beneath the neutral level of 50. In the Reuters monthly poll of 34 forecasters, meanwhile, the median estimates are at 1.43 million and 1.42 million amidst minimum and maximums of 1.37 million, 1.38 million, 1.48 million and 1.46 million. It\u2019s important to mention, however, that these releases have higher-than-normal deviation rates, meaning that the actual figures can vary widely from the consensus range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"969\" height=\"618\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-46.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-244234 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-46.png 969w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-46-700x446.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-46-300x191.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-46-768x490.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 969px) 100vw, 969px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 969px; aspect-ratio: 969\/618;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"966\" height=\"611\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-47.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-244235 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-47.png 966w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-47-700x443.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-47-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/06\/image-47-768x486.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 966px) 100vw, 966px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 966px; aspect-ratio: 966\/611;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the afternoon of <a>June 15, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Housing starts and permits are each expected to exceed 1.4 million seasonally adjusted annualized units in tomorrow\u2019s print with the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market pointing to 83% and 70% chances of the metrics surpassing that threshold.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":216611,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[18524,21692],"contributors-categories":[],"class_list":["post-244232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-housing-permits","tag-us-housings"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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In this capacity, he is responsible for economic analysis, economic commentary and educational content focused on the economy. Prior to joining Interactive Brokers, Jos\u00e9 spent 6 years working as an economist in the United States government within the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). During his time with the U.S. government, Jos\u00e9 frequently led presentations covering economic conditions and forecasts for elected officials, political appointees and senior management. He also built economic models, consulted with private sector executives, contributed to the modernization of economic processes and gained recognition for predicting the inflationary episode of the 2020s. Jos\u00e9 has also been a professor of economics at the City University of New York and holds a master\u2019s degree in financial economics from West Texas A&amp;M University. His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/12\/summer-construction-featured-img.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244232","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=244232"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244232\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/216611"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=244232"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=244232"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=244232"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=244232"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}