{"id":244179,"date":"2026-06-12T12:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T16:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=244179"},"modified":"2026-06-12T13:21:51","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T17:21:51","slug":"us-industrial-production-expected-near-1-6-on-monday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/us-industrial-production-expected-near-1-6-on-monday\/","title":{"rendered":"US Industrial Production Expected Near 1.6% on Monday: June 12, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

This Monday\u2019s industrial production data is expected to reflect a slight acceleration in the annualized figure as the manufacturing sector remains in firm expansion. The growth is being driven largely by capital expenditures tied to AI, and I\u2019m of the view that this incoming print could come in above expectations at around 1.8%, while the consensus estimate stands at 1.7%. The range of potential outcomes is particularly wide though, as the monthly Reuters poll comprised of 16 forecasters carry low and high estimates of 1.4% and 1.9%. Against this backdrop, I like the \u201cYes\u201d at 1%<\/a> in the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market which is going for $0.86 while I think it should cost closer to $0.96 considering that a path to a result that subdued is incredibly narrow. I also believe the 1.5% \u201cYes\u201d is attractive at $0.55; however, I favor the former opportunity more.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of June 12, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This Monday\u2019s industrial production data is expected to reflect a slight acceleration in the annualized figure as the manufacturing sector remains in firm expansion. 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