{"id":243626,"date":"2026-05-29T13:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T17:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=243626"},"modified":"2026-05-29T15:37:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T19:37:56","slug":"consider-yeses-for-tuesdays-euro-cpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/consider-yeses-for-tuesdays-euro-cpi\/","title":{"rendered":"Consider \u201cYeses\u201d For Tuesday Euro CPI Release: May 29, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

This Tuesday morning\u2019s eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices is anticipated to feature an annualized acceleration from April as heavy energy costs pressure the indicator north. The 3% from last month is expected to rise to 3.3% in May and the path to a deceleration to 2.9% is extremely narrow, especially in consideration of the unfavorable base effects from 2025\u2019s subdued oil charges. Emblematic of the elevated likelihood of another 3-handle is the monthly Reuters poll consisting of 27 forecasters carrying minimum and maximum projections of 3% and 3.5% amidst a median of 3.3%. Against this backdrop, the Interactive Brokers prediction market currently has undervalued contracts below the 3% threshold, in my opinion, as the \u201cYeses\u201d<\/a> at 2.9%, 2.8% and 2.7% are going for $0.76, $0.85 and $0.89. In my view, these levels should be closer to the nineties in reflection of a probable increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of May 29, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This Tuesday morning\u2019s eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices is anticipated to feature an annualized acceleration from April as heavy energy costs pressure the indicator 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