{"id":243078,"date":"2026-05-19T12:37:51","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T16:37:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=243078"},"modified":"2026-05-19T13:51:07","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T17:51:07","slug":"thursdays-hong-kong-cpi-expected-around-1-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/thursdays-hong-kong-cpi-expected-around-1-9\/","title":{"rendered":"Thursday\u2019s Hong Kong CPI Expected Around 1.9%: May 19, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is historically volatile, making it difficult to forecast. It sustains an elevated deviation rate, meaning that it has a tendency to arrive well off of the aggregate economist expectation. Emblematic of the past\u2019s wild swings, this Thursday\u2019s print has forecasters all over the place, as the monthly Reuters poll of 8 analysts carries a wide range from 1.8% to 2.8%, with the median at 2%. The I<a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/predictionmarkets\/app\/#\/725452897\/product-details\/contracts?exchange=FORECASTX&amp;conid_yes=858471447\">nteractive Brokers prediction market<\/a>, however, prices 67% and 6% likelihoods of numbers coming in ahead of 2% and 2.5%, as the odds point to 1.9% as the most likely headline figure. Meanwhile, the global surge in energy costs is expected to raise the gauge from its first three results of 2026 which were 1.1%, 1.7% and 1.7%, with the degree of the lift characterizing the debate. Those at 2% or below anticipate a minimal impact from crude oil remaining north of $100, while those above 2% project a more meaningful consequence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"685\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-52-1100x685.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market and Hong Kong CPI\" class=\"wp-image-243081 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-52-1100x685.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-52-700x436.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-52-300x187.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-52-768x478.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-52.png 1183w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/685;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>May 19, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is historically volatile, making it difficult to forecast.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":224282,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,18929,18,8,9,26,3],"tags":[18971,19494,570],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-243078","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-asia","8":"category-forecast-trader","9":"category-macro","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"tag-forecast-contracts","15":"tag-hong-kong-cpi","16":"tag-inflation","17":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - 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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/hong-kong.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=243078"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243078\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/224282"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=243078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=243078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=243078"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=243078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}