{"id":243067,"date":"2026-05-19T09:15:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T13:15:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=243067"},"modified":"2026-05-20T04:39:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T08:39:56","slug":"chart-advisor-the-chart-that-could-reprice-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-the-chart-that-could-reprice-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: The Chart That Could Reprice Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Investopedia is partnering with All Star Charts on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-chart-that-could-reprice-stocks\"><strong>The Chart That Could Reprice Stocks<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields broke out of multi-decade bottoms in 2022. The 10-year is now coiling into a wedge that will tell you everything about where stocks go next.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>By All Star Charts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Takeaways<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 10-year (TNX) and 30-year (TYX) Treasury yields formed multi-year bottoms in 2020 and broke out above long-term resistance in 2022.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>30-year yields have tested 5.18% multiple times. Each test has been rejected, but yields continue to hold the higher range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>10-year yields are tightening into a coil pattern. A breakout would push yields meaningfully above 5%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Higher rates would likely force a repricing in equities.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>&#8220;Higher for longer&#8221; has shifted from a narrative to a technical observation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets do not move in isolation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Whatever you see in the S&amp;P 500, in the Nasdaq, in your favorite small-cap name, it is downstream of something else. Most of the time, that something else is the bond market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This relationship is called intermarket analysis, and the bond-to-equity link is the most consistent one in the book.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Right now, the bond market is at an inflection point that most equity traders are not paying attention to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"541\" src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt-1100x541.avif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-243068\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt-1100x541.avif 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt-700x344.avif 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt-300x148.avif 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt-768x378.avif 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt-1536x756.avif 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/5b69e2cdaef4487ea172b34d24941f34-hixrzxkw8aawdnt.avif 1878w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The Structural Shift<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Step back from the day-to-day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both yields formed massive multi-year bottoms through 2020 and into 2021. Both broke out above long-term resistance in 2022. That breakout is intact, and the trend in rates is still up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What the 30-Year Is Telling Us<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cboe.com\/us\/indices\/dashboard\/TYX\/?hid=6b90736a47d32dc744900798ce540f3858c66c03&amp;did=23642976-20260519&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=051926\">The 30-year yield (TYX)<\/a>\u00a0has tested 5.18% multiple times. Each test has been rejected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yields are holding in the higher range and coiling just beneath the level, indicating the chart is consolidating into a tighter band while building potential energy for the eventual resolution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What the 10-Year Is Telling Us<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cboe.com\/us\/indices\/dashboard\/TNX\/?hid=6b90736a47d32dc744900798ce540f3858c66c03&amp;did=23642976-20260519&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=051926\">The 10-year yield (TNX)<\/a>\u00a0is tightening into a coil pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A wedge forms when highs and lows compress toward a single point. The two trend lines converge until the price has to break out in one direction. The longer the coil, the sharper the resolution tends to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019re not in the business of predicting which way a coil resolves before it does. But we can tell you what to watch for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Why This Matters for Stocks<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If the 10-year breaks higher out of its current range, yields are heading meaningfully above 5%. That is a significant repricing of the cost of capital.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Discount rates work like this. Future earnings are worth less today when rates are higher. A stock priced at 25 times earnings when the 10-year is at 4% does not deserve the same multiple when the 10-year is at 5.5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The math forces lower multiples. The equity market would have to absorb that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What to Watch Next<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mark the levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">5.18% on the 30-year is the ceiling that has held repeatedly. A weekly close above it on volume would signal that the next leg has started.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 10-year wedge resolution is the second signal. Watch the upper trendline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We are not telling you to short stocks today. We are telling you what to watch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bond market is the upstream signal. Equities follow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Higher for longer is no longer a narrative. It is what the chart shows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allstarcharts.com\/fast-money-masterclassy-inv?hid=6b90736a47d32dc744900798ce540f3858c66c03&amp;did=23642976-20260519&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=051926#register\">Today at 4:30 PM ET,<\/a>\u00a0our Chief Market Strategist Steve Strazza is hosting the Fast Money Masterclass. It is a live session on the strategy he uses to spot fast-moving setups on the most liquid names in the market before the breakout fires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the last 30 days, 14 of our 20 short-term trade alerts doubled. Half of those doubled in a single day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2192 MSTR $152.50 Call (4\/24 exp): 2x in 1 day, then&nbsp;<strong><em>+1,644%<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;6 days later&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2192 NVDA $190 Call (4\/24 exp): 2x in 1 day, then&nbsp;<strong><em>+1,042%<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;14 days later&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2192 IGV $80 Call (4\/24 exp): 2x in 1 day, then&nbsp;<strong><em>+663%<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;8 days later<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A $10,000 portfolio allocating $1,000 to each of those 20 trades on April 6 would be at $30,417 today. 204% in under 30 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Save your seat:\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allstarcharts.com\/fast-money-masterclassy-inv?hid=6b90736a47d32dc744900798ce540f3858c66c03&amp;did=23642976-20260519&amp;utm_campaign=chart-advisor_newsletter&amp;utm_source=investopedia&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=051926#register\"><strong>Fast Money Masterclass today at 4:30 pm ET.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Originally posted 18th May 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investopedia is partnering with All Star Charts on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only. The Chart That Could Reprice Stocks The 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields broke out of multi-decade bottoms in 2022. The 10-year is now coiling into a wedge that will tell you everything about [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":243068,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[16727,15,18,6,8,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[910,6677,6904],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":["post-243067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-etps","category-fixed-income","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-stocks","category-technical-analysis","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-sp-500","tag-tnx","tag-tyx","contributors-categories-investopedia"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chart Advisor: The Chart That Could Reprice Stocks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets do not move in isolation.Whatever you see in the S&amp;P 500, in the Nasdaq, in your favorite small-cap name, it is downstream of something else....\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243067\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chart Advisor: The Chart That Could Reprice Stocks | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Markets do not move in isolation.Whatever you see in the S&amp;P 500, in the Nasdaq, in your favorite small-cap name, it is downstream of something else. Most of the time, that something else is the bond market.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-the-chart-that-could-reprice-stocks\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-19T13:15:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-20T08:39:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Contributor Author\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Contributor Author\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        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