{"id":242593,"date":"2026-05-08T14:57:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T18:57:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=242593"},"modified":"2026-05-08T15:56:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T19:56:11","slug":"consider-umich-nos-for-the-revised-final-in-2-weeks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/consider-umich-nos-for-the-revised-final-in-2-weeks\/","title":{"rendered":"Consider UMich \u201cNos\u201d For the Revised Final In 2 Weeks: May 8, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The University of Michigan\u2019s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index hit 48.5 this morning and the final revision will be published two weeks from today. In consideration of the absolute median and average differences between the first and second versions historically being at 0.7 and 1, purchasing \u201cNos\u201d above the 48.5 threshold offers attractive risk-reward opportunities, in my opinion. Top of mind is the \u201cNo\u201d<\/a> at 50, which would require a rare upgrade of 1.6 to lose money and is undervalued at just $0.55, in my view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Pricing<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Historical<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for image: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of May 8, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The University of Michigan\u2019s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index hit 48.5 this morning and the final revision will be published two weeks from today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":221991,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[1576],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-242593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-consumer-sentiment","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nConsider UMich \u201cNos\u201d For the Revised Final 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