{"id":242298,"date":"2026-05-01T13:06:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T17:06:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=242298"},"modified":"2026-05-01T14:45:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T18:45:12","slug":"job-openings-expected-to-have-remained-stable-while-gasoline-spiked","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/job-openings-expected-to-have-remained-stable-while-gasoline-spiked\/","title":{"rendered":"Job Openings Expected to Have Remained Stable While Gasoline Spiked: May 1, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>This Tuesday\u2019s job openings data is likely to signal that labor conditions remain stable, confirming the strength seen in other reports like the BLS\u2019s employment situation, ADP\u2019s weekly release and layoff claims. The Interactive Brokers prediction market sees a number north of 6.6 million with a <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=751047555%7C20260505%7C6.6%7CMarch%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">70%<\/a> degree of certainty, while a figure that doesn\u2019t exceed 7.1 million carries an 84% likelihood. But this indicator is historically volatile and the survey has a subdued response rate, leaving investors vulnerable to unexpected wild swings. Meanwhile, the 5 forecasters included in the monthly Reuters poll are at the lower side, pointing to a median of 6.77 million amidst minimum and maximum values of 6.6 million and 6.88 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"133\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-4-1100x133.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract asking if job openings will exceed 6.6 million in March. \" class=\"wp-image-242305 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-4-1100x133.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-4-700x84.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-4-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-4-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-4.png 1443w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/133;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"557\" height=\"690\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-3.png\" alt=\"Pricing of IBKR predictive market contract regarding job openings in March. \" class=\"wp-image-242306 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-3.png 557w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-3-300x372.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 557px) 100vw, 557px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 557px; aspect-ratio: 557\/690;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gas-prices-spiked-significantly-this-week\"><strong>Gas Prices Spiked Significantly This Week<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Retail gasoline prices are expected to have risen well above $4.30 per gallon in the week ended May 4, 2026, according to the Interactive Brokers prediction market, which offers odds north of that figure at <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=751047545%7C20260505%7C4.3%7CMay%204,%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">91%<\/a>. The result would mark a substantial lift from the prior three reports which printed a range from $4.044 to $4.123. The statistic is likely to be the costliest since July of 2022, but to eclipse June of that same year, an incoming publication would need to arrive ahead of $5.006.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"133\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-5-1100x133.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract regarding US gasoline prices.\" class=\"wp-image-242307 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-5-1100x133.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-5-700x85.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-5-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-5-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/image-5.png 1441w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/133;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>May 1, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This Tuesday\u2019s job openings data is likely to signal that labor conditions remain stable, confirming the strength seen in other reports like the BLS\u2019s employment situation, ADP\u2019s weekly release and layoff claims.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":208057,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[12719,7733],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-242298","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-prediction-market","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"tag-gasoline-prices","15":"tag-job-listings","16":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin 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