{"id":241896,"date":"2026-04-22T12:54:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T16:54:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=241896"},"modified":"2026-04-22T19:15:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T23:15:55","slug":"hong-kong-singapore-japan-cpis-due-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/hong-kong-singapore-japan-cpis-due-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan CPIs Due This Week: April 22, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been somewhat volatile in recent months with its year-over-year (y\/y) February result climbing from 1.1% in January to 1.7%, a result, in large part, of differences in the Chinese New Year dates during this year and in 2025. This February CPI ascent was primarily driven by the inflationary impact of the holiday occurring that month and a low base comparison because the festival and its inflationary impacts were observed in January of last year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even without the inflationary influences of the Chinese New Year, the March CPI is unlikely to ease significantly from the 1.7% print. Meanwhile, the IBKR prediction market contract with a \u201cYes\u201d answer that asks if the CPI will exceed a threshold of <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=725452893%7C20260423%7C1.2%7CMarch%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">1.2%<\/a> is priced at $0.80, which would pay $1 if correct. A deceleration to that degree, in my opinion, is unlikely. Consider the following:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Of eight analysts surveyed by Reuters, the median forecast is 1.8% and the minimum anticipated result is only 1.4%, significantly above the 1.2% contract threshold.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The February CPI was immune from soaring oil and gas costs that started last month as a result of the US-Iran war.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The prediction market also has contracts with \u201cYes\u201d answers for thresholds of 1.7% and 2.2% that are priced at $0.28 and $0.03.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"109\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79-1100x109.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract regarding Hong Kong CPI\" class=\"wp-image-241897 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79-1100x109.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79-700x69.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79-300x30.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79-768x76.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79-1536x152.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-79.png 1587w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/109;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"619\" height=\"747\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-80.png\" alt=\"Pricing of IBKR predictive market contracts regarding Hong Kong CPI\" class=\"wp-image-241898 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-80.png 619w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-80-300x362.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 619px) 100vw, 619px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 619px; aspect-ratio: 619\/747;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-singapore-yeses-also-attractive\"><strong>Singapore \u201cYeses\u201d Also Attractive<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, this week, the Singapore CPI is expected to arrive near 1.8% after coming in at 1.3% in February, according to the median estimate of 19 forecasters surveyed by Reuters. The IBKR prediction market contract asking if the CPI will come in north of 1.5% has a \u201cYes\u201d answer priced at only <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=725452887%7C20260423%7C1.5%7CMarch%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$0.27<\/a>. With higher energy prices, the lowest and highest estimate among the 19 analysts polled by Reuters is 1.3% and 2.1%. A reading above 1.5%, in my view, is highly likely due to higher energy costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"106\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-83-1100x106.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contracts regarding Singapore CPI\" class=\"wp-image-241901 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-83-1100x106.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-83-700x68.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-83-300x29.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-83-768x74.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-83.png 1263w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/106;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"616\" height=\"615\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-84.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contracts regarding Singapore CPI\" class=\"wp-image-241902 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-84.png 616w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-84-300x300.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 616px) 100vw, 616px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 616px; aspect-ratio: 616\/615;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Japan CPI Likely Accelerated as Well<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Japan\u2019s March CPI, likewise, is also poised to increase due to higher energy costs. In February, the gauge fell from 112.9 in January to 112.1. Even if higher energy costs were offset by declines in the prices of other categories, it\u2019s highly probable that the gauge will exceed the 112 threshold found in the Interactive Brokers prediction market contract with a \u201cYes\u201d answer that is priced at only <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=808613998%7C20260423%7C112%7CMarch%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$0.75<\/a>. The prediction market also offers contracts with \u201cYes\u201d answers that have thresholds of 112.8 and 113.6 that are both priced at $0.03.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"100\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82-1100x100.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contracts regarding Japan CPI\" class=\"wp-image-241899 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82-1100x100.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82-700x63.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82-300x27.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82-768x70.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82-1536x139.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-82.png 1590w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/100;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"610\" height=\"660\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-81.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contracts regarding Japan CPI\" class=\"wp-image-241900 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-81.png 610w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-81-300x325.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 610px) 100vw, 610px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 610px; aspect-ratio: 610\/660;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of April 22, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been somewhat volatile in recent months with its year-over-year (y\/y) February result climbing from 1.1% in January to 1.7%, a result, in large part, of differences in the Chinese New Year dates during this year and in 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":236408,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-241896","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan CPIs Due This Week: April 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