{"id":241532,"date":"2026-04-14T13:10:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T17:10:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=241532"},"modified":"2026-04-14T14:40:03","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T18:40:03","slug":"singapore-gdp-revision-forecast-for-next-month","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/singapore-gdp-revision-forecast-for-next-month\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapore GDP Revision Forecast for Next Month: April 14, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Last night\u2019s preliminary first quarter Singapore GDP publication reflected a 4.6% year-over-year growth rate, which arrived weaker than the median estimate of 5.4% and the prior period&#8217;s 5.7%. The slowdown was caused by heavier oil prices and supply chain disruptions that hurt activity. Meanwhile, the Interactive Brokers prediction market offers thresholds for the final revision of the print, which is due late next month. Indeed, folks that don\u2019t envision a heavy downgrade or a substantial improvement from the flash release may take a position in the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=725452870%7C20260521%7C3.9%7CQ1%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\">3.9% \u201cYes\u201d<\/a> for $0.72 or the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=725452870%7C20260521%7C5.9%7CQ1%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">5.9% \u201cNo\u201d<\/a> at $0.74. The former would require a subtraction of 0.7% or more to lose money while the latter needs a lift of at least 1.4% to face defeat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"102\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59-1100x102.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract asking if Singapore Real GDP in the first quarter of this year will exceed 3.9%.\" class=\"wp-image-241534 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59-1100x102.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59-700x65.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59-300x28.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59-768x71.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59-1536x143.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-59.png 1614w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/102;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"110\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58-1100x110.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract asking if Singapore Real GDP in the first quarter of this year will exceed 5.9%.\" class=\"wp-image-241533 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58-1100x110.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58-700x70.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58-300x30.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58-768x77.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58-1536x153.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-58.png 1624w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/110;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of April 14, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last night\u2019s preliminary first quarter Singapore GDP publication reflected a 4.6% year-over-year growth rate, which arrived weaker than the median estimate of 5.4% and the prior period&#8217;s 5.7%. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":213581,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,18929,18,6,8,9,3],"tags":[19172],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-241532","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-asia","8":"category-prediction-market","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-traders-insight","14":"tag-singapore-gdp","15":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Singapore GDP Revision Forecast for 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