{"id":241406,"date":"2026-04-10T13:01:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T17:01:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=241406"},"modified":"2026-04-10T16:42:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T20:42:51","slug":"india-cpi-due-on-monday-umich-final-in-2-weeks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/india-cpi-due-on-monday-umich-final-in-2-weeks\/","title":{"rendered":"India CPI Due on Monday, UMich Final In 2 Weeks: April 10, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>India\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to have risen 3.48% year over year to a value of 105.11 in March, however, this indicator is volatile and can feature wild swings from the median estimate. Reflecting that volatility are projections that are scattered all over the place according to a consensus of 45 forecasters polled by Reuters, with minimum and maximum entries standing at 3.18% and 4.2%. This signals that a number as low 104.81 or as high as 105.85 could be in the cards. The Interactive Brokers prediction market, meanwhile, offers thresholds for trading, with the 105 \u201cYes\u201d and the 106 \u201cNo\u201d going for <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=808613975%7C20260413%7C105%7CMarch%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$0.78<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=808613975%7C20260413%7C106%7CMarch%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$0.61<\/a>, pointing to a result in the 105s as the most likely. Additionally, the \u201cNos\u201d at 107 and 108 are priced at $0.89 and $0.95, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"118\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-29-1100x118.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract asking if India CPI will exceed 106 in March\" class=\"wp-image-241409 lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/118;aspect-ratio:9.351927575555225;width:936px;height:auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-29-1100x118.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-29-700x75.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-29-300x32.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-29-768x82.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-29.png 1515w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"711\" height=\"571\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-30.png\" alt=\"Pricing of IBKR predictive market contract regarding India CPI for March.\" class=\"wp-image-241407 lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 711px; aspect-ratio: 711\/571;aspect-ratio:1.2451861794323966;width:936px;height:auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-30.png 711w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-30-700x562.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-30-300x241.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 711px) 100vw, 711px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-umich-revision-due-in-two-weeks\"><strong>UMich Revision Due In Two Weeks <\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Today\u2019s University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (UMich) flash estimate came in at a record low of 47.6, and the tradable revision is due in two weeks on Friday the 24th. Changes in the preliminary and final versions are generally subdued, most often less than 1.5. Against that backdrop, participants that don\u2019t envision a sharp upgrade above 50 may consider imitating positions in the \u201cNos\u201d at 50, 52, 54, and 56 which are going for <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=626425612%7C20260424%7C50%7C%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$0.84<\/a>, $0.89, $0.95, $0.96. Keep in mind, however, that if gasoline prices tumble on a Middle East peace deal and markets rally as a result, that would raise the odds of a significant improvement in this indicator since those were the factors driving this month\u2019s initially reported heavy decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"123\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-31-1100x123.png\" alt=\"IBKR predictive market contract asking US consumer sentiment will exceed 50 in April 2026\" class=\"wp-image-241410 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-31-1100x123.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-31-700x78.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-31-300x34.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-31-768x86.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-31.png 1516w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/123;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"708\" height=\"536\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-32.png\" alt=\"Pricing of IBKR predictive market contract regarding April US consumer sentiment \" class=\"wp-image-241408 lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 708px; aspect-ratio: 708\/536;width:949px;height:auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-32.png 708w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-32-700x530.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/image-32-300x227.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of April 10, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to have risen 3.48% year over year to a value of 105.11 in March, however, this indicator is volatile and can feature wild swings from the median estimate. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":218634,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4,18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-241406","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-asia","8":"category-prediction-market","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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