{"id":240892,"date":"2026-03-30T10:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=240892"},"modified":"2026-03-31T03:17:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T07:17:11","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-march-30-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-march-30-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap Week of March 30, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Flash global PMI Mfg.\/Services: 52.4\/51.1<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Import prices rose 1.3% m\/m vs. 0.6% exp.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Initial claims edged higher to 210k<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Unemployment rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nonfarm payrolls<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Retail sales<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For markets, the first quarter has felt like d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu. Just like last year, the quarter was marked by sharp swings; only this time, it was the war in the Middle East, not tariffs, keeping investors on edge and volatility elevated. That said, both episodes fueled the same concern: upside risk to inflation, and that has weighed on returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at performance across asset classes in 1Q26, all but commodities have shed gains since the war broke out in late February. Within equities, valuations corrected across the board, but U.S. large cap struggled in particular, dragged lower by the Mag 7 (-15%) as concerns grew over the payback from ever-increasing AI capex. Small cap fared better, as investors continue to expect a sharp acceleration in earnings growth. Internationally, emerging markets continued to outperform developed market peers, led by markets such as Korea and Taiwan that are benefiting from AI-related capex. Turning to fixed income, yields rose roughly 35bps since the start of the year, weighing on returns as near-term inflation concerns again came to the fore, driven largely by higher energy prices. Commodities, meanwhile, stood out as the best-performing asset class, though with wide dispersion \u2014 energy gained as oil prices surged nearly 75% year-to-date, while precious metals lost steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year\u2019s rocky start faded quickly, with markets finishing strong \u2014 a reminder that in markets, winters are often short and summers long. Therefore, investors would be wise to use the recent dislocations in the market to position portfolios for structural growth themes that are likely to persist long after the conflict in the Middle East is resolved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1017\" height=\"401\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-30-101509.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-240893 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-30-101509.png 1017w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-30-101509-700x276.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-30-101509-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-30-101509-768x303.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1017px) 100vw, 1017px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1017px; aspect-ratio: 1017\/401;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, MSCI, NAREIT, FTSE<br>Russell, Standard and Poor&#8217;s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data<br>are as of March 27, 2026.<br>Thought of the week: Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, MSCI, NAREIT, FTSE<br>Russell, Standard and Poor&#8217;s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data<br>are as of March 27, 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted March 27, 2026 \u2013&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2026 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., March 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of March 27, 2026 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights that in 1Q26, commodities led as oil surged 75% YTD, while U.S. large caps and the Mag 7 fell sharply amid inflation fears.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":240893,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-240892","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap Week of March 30, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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