{"id":240334,"date":"2026-03-17T12:12:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T16:12:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=240334"},"modified":"2026-03-17T16:42:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T20:42:37","slug":"central-bank-forecasts-fed-boc-boj-to-hold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/central-bank-forecasts-fed-boc-boj-to-hold\/","title":{"rendered":"Central Bank Forecasts: Fed, BoC, BoJ To Hold: March, 17, 2026\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Tomorrow\u2019s central bank decisions featuring the US Fed<\/a>, Bank of Canada<\/a> (BoC) and Bank of Japan<\/a> (BoJ) include elevated degrees of confidence of 96% or higher that the institutions will keep rates unchanged. Monetary policy officials from around the globe are highly attentive to the recent surge in energy prices and the associated risk to their inflation mandates. For this reason, policymakers are increasingly likely to maintain existing short-term costs of capital or begin hiking, with fewer opting to reduce their respective benchmarks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Fed\u2019s Bowman, Waller and Miran Could Dissent<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

There\u2019s a high likelihood that the Fed decision will feature a formal disagreement from one of the voting members, however, as Governors Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller and\/or Stephen Miran may prefer to drop the benchmark by 25-basis points in light of labor market risks. Indeed, there\u2019s a 97%<\/a> chance of at least one dissenter while there are 29%<\/a> and 50%<\/a> probabilities of exactly one or two dissenters opting for a different move than the majority. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

PPI Expected Around 3% Tomorrow<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Tomorrow\u2019s US Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to arrive around 3%, according to participants in the Interactive Brokers prediction market. There\u2019s a 41%<\/a> percent chance of a result above 3% as well as a 59% likelihood of a figure that fails to exceed that threshold. When looking at levels under and over, there are 11% odds of a statistic north of 3.5% and a 6% feasibility of a print at 2.5% or lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of March 17, 2026.<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tomorrow\u2019s central bank decisions featuring the US Fed, Bank of Canada (Boc) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) include elevated degrees of confidence of 96% or higher that the institutions will keep rates unchanged. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":209044,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4,18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":["post-240334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-asia","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCentral 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