{"id":240116,"date":"2026-03-11T12:51:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T16:51:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=240116"},"modified":"2026-03-11T14:21:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T18:21:54","slug":"forecasters-expect-initial-claims-under-220k-another-wei-above-2-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/forecasters-expect-initial-claims-under-220k-another-wei-above-2-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecasters Expect Initial Claims Under 220K, Another WEI Above 2.4%: March 11, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Forecasters believe that initial claims will land between 211k and 220k for the third consecutive week tomorrow, as participants price a <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=626425574%7C20260312%7C210000%7CMarch%207,%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">67%<\/a> probability of a number north of 210k and a 64% likelihood of a result that doesn&#8217;t exceed 220k. Thresholds below and above carry subdued probabilities, meanwhile, as there\u2019s just a 15% chance of a statistic at or beneath 200k as well as 10% odds of a figure ahead of 230k. The expectations signal that investors think that labor conditions are healthy, as layoffs are projected to remain low.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"119\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-38-1100x119.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-240120 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-38-1100x119.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-38-700x76.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-38-300x32.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-38-768x83.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-38.png 1269w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/119;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"567\" height=\"718\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-39.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-240121 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-39.png 567w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-39-300x380.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 567px) 100vw, 567px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 567px; aspect-ratio: 567\/718;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-activity-to-remain-healthy-too\"><strong>Activity To Remain Healthy Too<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Similarly, forecasters believe that the Dallas Fed\u2019s Weekly Economic Index will exceed 2.4% tomorrow morning for the fifth consecutive week, as there\u2019s a 58% chance that the result arrives above that level. Meanwhile, three of the last four weeks have featured numbers ahead of 2.6%, and investors price that scenario at 35%, underscoring bullish sentiments about the economy even as the risk of a hawkish central bank and the Iran war pose challenges to the cycle. Indeed, rate cut optimism has declined substantially year-to-date as WTI crude oil jumped north of $119 this week, its loftiest cost since 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"118\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-40-1100x118.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-240122 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-40-1100x118.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-40-700x75.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-40-300x32.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-40-768x83.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-40.png 1264w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/118;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"558\" height=\"593\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-37.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-240119 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-37.png 558w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/image-37-300x319.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 558px) 100vw, 558px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 558px; aspect-ratio: 558\/593;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of March 11, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forecasters believe that initial claims will land between 211k and 220k for the third consecutive week tomorrow, as participants price a 67% probability of a number north of 210k and a 64% likelihood of a result that doesn&#8217;t exceed 220k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":223537,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18929,6,19,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-240116","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-options","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-text-articles","13":"category-traders-insight"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forecasters Expect Initial Claims Under 220K, Another WEI Above 2.4%: March 11, 2026<\/title>\n<meta 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