{"id":240066,"date":"2026-03-10T13:10:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T17:10:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=240066"},"modified":"2026-03-10T15:06:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T19:06:26","slug":"forecasters-generally-expect-2-4-for-headline-cpi-2-5-for-core","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/forecasters-generally-expect-2-4-for-headline-cpi-2-5-for-core\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecasters Generally Expect 2.4% For Headline CPI, 2.5% For Core: March 10, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Tomorrow\u2019s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is generally expected to come in at 2.4% <\/a>for the headline result and 2.5%<\/a> for core. Pricing across contracts in the former category signal 94%, 76%, 45% and 10% probabilities of results exceeding 2.2%, 2.3%, 2.4% and 2.5% and conversely, there are 88%, 53% 22% and 4% likelihoods that the statistics won\u2019t arrive over 2.5%, 2.4%, 2.3% and 2.2%. Meanwhile, the monthly Reuters poll of 49 forecasters has a median of 2.4% amidst minimum and maximum values of 2.3% and 2.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Core Expected a Little Higher Though<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The core CPI, which excludes food and energy due to their volatile characteristics, is priced a little higher than the headline figure, with the \u201cYeses\u201d at 2.3%, 2.4%, 2.5% and 2.6% at 87%, 66%, 32% and 14%. On the other hand, the \u201cNos\u201d at 2.6%, 2.5%, 2.4% and 2.3% are going for 84%, 66%, 32% and 11%. The monthly Reuters poll of 48 forecasters has a median estimate of 2.5% against the backdrop of a 2.4% minimum and 2.7% maximum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of March 10, 2026.<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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