{"id":239661,"date":"2026-03-02T10:30:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T15:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=239661"},"modified":"2026-03-03T04:09:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T09:09:50","slug":"weekly-market-recap-march-2-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-march-2-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: March 2, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>House price index edged up 1.4% y\/y in Dec<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Initial claims rose slightly to 212K<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Core PPI increased 0.8% m\/m in Jan<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Unemployment rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nonfarm payrolls<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Retail sales<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After declining over 9% last year, marking its worst performance since 2017, the dollar has remained under pressure this year. Investors are questioning whether this reflects a structural shift away from the U.S. and how they should position portfolios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A recent Bank for International Settlements report suggests demand for U.S. assets has largely held steady. What has changed is how foreign investors hold these assets. For years after the GFC, they bought U.S. assets unhedged, riding the wave of dollar appreciation. However, increased uncertainty, especially after shifts in U.S. trade policy, has led many to raise hedge ratios, putting downward pressure on the greenback. So, it was more \u2018Hedge America\u2019 than \u2018Sell America\u2019 that drove the dollar down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, the narrowing in interest rate differentials, as shown in the chart of the week, has contributed to the dollar\u2019s weakness. The 2-year yield reflects market expectations for the policy path. Currently, markets are pricing in 25 to 50bps of Fed cuts this year, while the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia are expected to hike. If policy outcomes exceed what\u2019s priced in, the yield differential could compress further, adding pressure on the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lastly, even after its recent slide, the dollar remains about 35% above its GFC lows. This suggests the administration may be comfortable with some additional weakness, particularly as it would support efforts to narrow the trade deficit. For investors, a softer dollar could amplify returns abroad, strengthening the case for international diversification at a time when portfolios remain heavily tilted toward the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1009\" height=\"399\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-02-101130.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-239663 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-02-101130.png 1009w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-02-101130-700x277.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-02-101130-300x119.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-02-101130-768x304.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1009px) 100vw, 1009px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1009px; aspect-ratio: 1009\/399;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: BIS, Bloomberg, FactSet, J.P. Morgan<br>Asset Management. *Interest rate differential is the difference<br>between the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield and a basket of the 2-year<br>yields of each major trading partner (Australia, Canada, eurozone,<br>Japan, Sweden, Switzerland and UK). Weights in the basket are<br>calculated using the 2-year average of total government bonds<br>outstanding in each region. Data show history from Jan 1, 2022 to Feb<br>27, 2026.<br>Thought of the week: Source: BIS, Bloomberg, FactSet, J.P. Morgan<br>Asset Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted March 2, 2026 \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2026 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., March 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of March 2, 2026 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights that a weaker dollar is driven by higher hedging and narrowing yield differentials, boosting the case for global diversification.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":239663,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-239661","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: March 2, 2026 | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta 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