{"id":238822,"date":"2026-02-06T13:13:09","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T18:13:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=238822"},"modified":"2026-02-07T13:44:47","modified_gmt":"2026-02-07T18:44:47","slug":"singapore-q4-gdp-unlikely-to-be-upgraded-strongly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/singapore-q4-gdp-unlikely-to-be-upgraded-strongly\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapore Q4 GDP Unlikely to Be Upgraded Strongly: Feb. 6, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Singapore\u2019s fourth-quarter of 2025 economic performance featured a 5.7% annualized growth rate, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;source=web&amp;rct=j&amp;opi=89978449&amp;url=https:\/\/www.singstat.gov.sg\/advgdp&amp;ved=2ahUKEwi9xv6jgsWSAxVgF1kFHfDEI2YQFnoECB0QAQ&amp;usg=AOvVaw06EHCRkfCUoQkHwS8sJHvK\">preliminary estimate<\/a>, but the final reading is due this Monday.\u00a0 Historical revisions for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) have been particularly wide, with the median and mean difference between the flash and second versions standing at 0.6% and 0.3% in absolute terms when analyzing data going back to 2005. However, removing the absolute condition lands the median and mean at a contrast of 0.1% from the advance release. Against this backdrop, IBKR ForecastTrader participants see a subdued chance of a 0.4% upgrade that would take the number up to 6.1%, as the \u201cNo\u201d contract corresponding to a figure that fails to exceed 6% is priced at <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=725452870%7C20260209%7C6%7CQ4%202025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">86%<\/a>, indicating an elevated degree of confidence that the publication won\u2019t feature a significant jump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"118\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/image-37-1100x118.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-238823 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/image-37-1100x118.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/image-37-700x75.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/image-37-300x32.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/image-37-768x82.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/image-37.png 1516w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/118;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Eventful Week Ahead for Econ Data<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s a plethora of economic data hitting the wires next week especially since today\u2019s Jobs Friday was cancelled due to the partial government shutdown. For the US, we have retail sales on Tuesday, employment and unemployment numbers on Wednesday, the typical weekly Thursday figures featuring the Dallas Fed&#8217;s Economic Index and jobless claims and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Friday. Turning to the rest of the globe, Hong Kong\u2019s final GDP as well as the Indian and Spanish CPIs are scheduled for Thursday and Friday respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Feb. 6, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Singapore\u2019s fourth-quarter of 2025 economic performance featured a 5.7% annualized growth rate, according to the preliminary estimate, but the final reading is due this Monday.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":213581,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,18929,18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[744,20817],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-238822","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-asia","8":"category-forecast-trader","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-region","12":"category-securities","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"tag-singapore","16":"tag-weekly-economic-index","17":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - 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