{"id":238550,"date":"2026-02-02T10:45:43","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T15:45:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=238550"},"modified":"2026-02-03T04:47:25","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T09:47:25","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-february-2-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-february-2-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of February 2, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Core PPI rose 0.7% m\/m in Dec. vs. 0.2% exp.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>JOLTS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nonfarm payrolls<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PMIs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>What happens when, after years of near-zero inflation, it finally takes hold, and a heavily indebted government leans on subsidies and tax cuts to shield households? Japan gave markets a live demo this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation has hovered above the Bank of Japan\u2019s 2% target for much of the past four years, and medium-term inflation expectations have moved closer to U.S. levels. While this opens the door for policy normalization, the BoJ has been slow to raise rates, cautious of risks to fragile growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, households are facing price pressures not seen in decades. In a bid to ease the cost-of-living burden, Prime Minister Takaichi, who called snap elections this month, promised a two-year suspension of the food and beverages consumption tax. This follows earlier energy subsidies that helped cool recent inflation prints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, with public debt already around 200% of GDP, these fiscal announcements jolted the bond yields higher, which were already trading at multi-decade highs, as shown in the chart. At the same time, despite rising yields, the yen weakened sharply toward \u00a5160\/$ as investors demanded a higher risk premium. A weaker yen risks adding fuel to inflation by pushing up the cost of imported food and energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While volatility eased after reassurances on fiscal discipline, this episode highlighted how narrow Japan\u2019s policy path has become. Moreover, as a long-time provider of global liquidity, a sharp move higher in Japanese yields could pull capital back and push global yields higher. For investors, that perhaps means tempering expectations for a major decline in long-term yields, and owning bonds for carry, not for a duration rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1015\" height=\"399\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-101635.png\" alt=\"Promise of food tax suspension ahead of polls jolted yields higher\" class=\"wp-image-238552 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-101635.png 1015w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-101635-700x275.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-101635-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-101635-768x302.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1015px) 100vw, 1015px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1015px; aspect-ratio: 1015\/399;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management.<br>Thought of the week: Source: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted February 2, 2026 \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2026 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., February 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of February 2, 2026 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Join The Conversation<\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights Japan\u2019s surging bond yields and weak yen as fiscal stimulus and inflation reshape its economic outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":238552,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-238550","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: Week of February 2, 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