{"id":238447,"date":"2026-01-30T09:23:13","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T14:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=238447"},"modified":"2026-01-30T09:29:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T14:29:50","slug":"chart-advisor-crypto-at-range-lows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-crypto-at-range-lows\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: Crypto at Range Lows"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

By\u00a0Shane Murphy, CMT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/ Crypto at Range Lows<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/\u00a0USDCAD at 52-week Lows<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/ BCOM Soaring as Breakevens RangE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Crypto at Range Lows<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crypto continues to struggle, as more traditional risk assets like Emerging Market stocks and Smallcaps are performing well. Also, speculators are much more focused on precious metals \u2013 as Gold & Silver continue their ascension. Both the mega-cap giants Ethereum and Bitcoin are trading at range lows. Every rally has been sold over the last 3-months, not even a weak US Dollar has been enough to move the asset class higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

If Bitcoin breaks down here \u2013 70,000 is my next level of interest. For Ethereum, the 2,000 level would grab my attention. What we know from crypto\u2019s brief price history, is that bear markets are long and steep \u2013 correcting through both price and time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USDCAD at 52-week Lows<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US Dollar is losing ground against virtually every other developed market currency. The below chart displays the US Dollar \/ Canadian Dollar. The pair is at fresh 52-week lows and the 9-day rate-of-change printed its lowest reading since the April \u201925 tariff tantrum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

With volatility like this in the FX market \u2013 one should expect a certain degree of mean reversion to follow. But a lot of technical damage has been done. The trend for the dollar is down!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

BCOM Soaring as Breakevens Range<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Are commodity prices telling us that inflation expectations are wrong? Even broad commodity baskets like the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) are breaking out to new multi-year highs \u2013 yet 10yr breakevens continue to range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

If anything, this chart tells us that sub 2% breakevens are likely a thing of the past. This will keep upward pressure on the long-end of the treasury curve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally posted 30th January 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By\u00a0Shane Murphy, CMT 1\/ Crypto at Range Lows 2\/\u00a0USDCAD at 52-week Lows 3\/ BCOM Soaring as Breakevens RangE Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter. \u00a0The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":238448,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,14,16727,15,16,18,6,8,9,22,23,26,3],"tags":[1368,410,11509,255,678,11505],"contributors-categories":[13686],"class_list":{"0":"post-238447","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commodities","8":"category-etfs","9":"category-etps","10":"category-fixed-income","11":"category-forex","12":"category-macro","13":"category-north-america","14":"category-region","15":"category-securities","16":"category-stocks","17":"category-technical-analysis","18":"category-text-articles","19":"category-traders-insight","20":"tag-bcom","21":"tag-bitcoin","22":"tag-ethereum-crypto","23":"tag-gold","24":"tag-silver","25":"tag-usdcad","26":"contributors-categories-investopedia"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nChart 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