{"id":238226,"date":"2026-01-28T10:45:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T15:45:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=238226"},"modified":"2026-01-29T05:00:31","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T10:00:31","slug":"four-key-market-signals-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"Four key market signals to watch"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Key takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Corporate bond spreads<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

They\u2019ve tightened, but that\u2019s not the behavior of a market bracing for imminent deterioration in stocks, in our view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US dollar weakness<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

It has weakened in an orderly fashion, and a Danish pension fund\u2019s upcoming sale of US Treasuries is statistically irrelevant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inflation expectations<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

At 2.5%, inflation expectations still fall within what the Federal Reserve (Fed) considers price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Writing weekly commentaries on an airplane is much easier with noise\u2011cancelling headphones. Flip the switch and all the noise disappears. You\u2019re left with the clarity to focus on what matters. An analogy to markets today is apt. The cacophony is deafening, and investors are struggling to distinguish what market signals matter from what merely sounds urgent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve<\/a> (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring Greenland. The Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index has been elevated and rising.1<\/a><\/sup> Yet history reminds us that peaks in geopolitical risk have often been buying opportunities, not exit signals.2<\/a><\/sup> For instance, investors who bailed after Liberation Day learned that lesson the hard way, missing April 9, 2025, the third\u2011best day for the S&P 500 Index in the past 30 years.3<\/a><\/sup> We know what happens when you miss the best days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what deserves attention now? Listen to the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Four key market signals to watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  1. Corporate-<\/strong>bond<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0spreads tightened.<\/strong>4<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0Yes, tightened. That\u2019s typically not the behavior of a market bracing for imminent deterioration in stocks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Transportation stocks continued to climb<\/strong>,5<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0suggesting momentum could be building in the US economy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. The US dollar weakened<\/strong>, but in an orderly, unremarkable fashion.6<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0Yes, the Danish pension fund\u2019s upcoming sale of US Treasuries made news, but amounts to just $100 million in a $40 trillion market \u2014 statistically irrelevant.7<\/a><\/sup><\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. Three\u2011year\u00a0<\/strong>inflation<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0expectations jumped<\/strong>\u00a0from 2.25% to above 2.50%.8<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0That bears watching. The move likely reflects concerns about tariffs on Europe or the political noise around Fed independence. But with Fed Governor Lisa Cook looking likely to remain in place, some of those fears may be eased. Rising inflation expectations are the one development that could legitimately alter market leadership if the Fed was no longer expected to cut\u00a0rates<\/a>\u00a0this year, or worse, needed to tighten policy. But 2.5% inflation expectations still fall within what the Fed considers price stability. That\u2019s not a flashing red light.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Sharply higher Japanese yields<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    While the world was focused on the World Economic Forum in Davos, Japanese government bond yields were moving sharply higher, driven by expectations of expanded fiscal support. We interpret this as a Bank of Japan that\u2019s increasingly behind the curve and likely to tighten more aggressively. That could stabilize the yen and support our view that the US dollar has room to weaken against trading partners as the year progresses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Navigating the volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Investors could get nervous with each jolt of turbulence, whether geopolitical, political, or monetary. Or they could do what seasoned travelers do and put the noise\u2011cancelling headphones on and focus on the destination! The better choice, in our view, remains the latter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    A solid economic backdrop,9<\/a><\/sup> relatively stable inflation,10<\/a><\/sup> and the increasing likelihood of global fiscal policy support, from Europe to China to the US, form a constructive environment for stocks, in our view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    What to watch this week<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
    Date<\/strong><\/th>Region<\/strong><\/th>Event<\/strong><\/th>Why it matters<\/strong><\/th><\/tr>
    Jan. 26<\/td>Japan<\/td>Leading Indicators (Nov.)<\/td>Gauge of future economic activity<\/td><\/tr>
    Jan. 27<\/td>US<\/td>S&P\/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Nov.)<\/td>Housing market trends<\/td><\/tr>
    Jan. 28<\/td>US<\/td>Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting<\/td>Monetary policy direction<\/td><\/tr>
     <\/td>Canada<\/td>Bank of Canada meeting<\/td>Policy decisions<\/td><\/tr>
    Jan. 29<\/td>US<\/td>Productivity (Final Q3), trade balance (Nov.), and Personal income and spending (Dec.)<\/td>Economic efficiency and trade and income trends<\/td><\/tr>
     <\/td>Canada<\/td>Merchandise trade balance (Nov.)<\/td>Trade position<\/td><\/tr>
     <\/td>Japan<\/td>Unemployment rate (Dec.) and industrial production (Dec.)<\/td>Labor market and output<\/td><\/tr>
    Jan 30<\/td>US<\/td>Producer Price Index (PPI) (Dec.) and Chicago Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index<\/a> (PMI) (Jan.)<\/td>Inflation and business conditions<\/td><\/tr>
     <\/td>Canada<\/td>Gross domestic product (GDP) (Nov.)<\/td>Economic growth<\/td><\/tr>
     <\/td>Eurozone<\/td>GDP (Q4 advance) and unemployment (Dec.)<\/td>Growth and labour market<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    —<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Originally Posted January 26, 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Four key market signals to watch<\/a> By Invesco US<\/p>\n\n\n\n

     Footnotes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    1 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Economic Policy Uncertainty, Jan. 22, 2026. The Caldara and Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index reflects automated text-search results of the electronic archives of 10 newspapers: Chicago Tribune, The Daily Telegraph, Financial Times, The Globe and Mail, The Guardian, The Los Angeles Times, The New York Times, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post. Caldara and Iacoviello calculate the index by counting the number of articles related to adverse geopolitical events in each newspaper for each month (as a share of the total number of news articles). The Geopolitical Risk Index peaks were Oct. 1962, Jun. 1967, Oct. 1973, Dec. 1979, June 1982, Aug. 1990, Feb. 1991, Oct. 2001, March 2003, March 2022, and Oct. 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    2 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026. See footnote 1. The average return of the S&P 500 Index in the one year following the dates listed in footnote 1 is 15.40%.\u00a0Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    3Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026. The S&P 500 Index returned 9.5% on April 9, 2025, trailing only Oct. 13, 2008 (+11.6%) and Oct. 28, 2008 (+10.4%).\u00a0Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    4 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026, based on the option-adjusted spread of the Bloomberg US Corporate Bond Index. Option\u2011adjusted spread (OAS) is a fixed\u2011income measure that shows how much additional yield a bond offers over a risk\u2011free benchmark after adjusting for any embedded options (such as the issuer\u2019s ability to call or redeem the bond early).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    5 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026, based on the return of the Dow Jones Transportation Average,\u2122 a 20-stock, price-weighted index that represents the stock performance of large, well-known US companies within the transportation industry. It advanced 1.53% over the five days ended Jan. 22, 2026.\u00a0Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    6 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026. Based on the US Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US dollar versus a trade-weighted basket of currencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    7 Source: Bloomberg, US Treasury, AkademikerPension, Jan. 22, 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    8 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026, based on the 3-year US Treasury breakeven rate. A breakeven inflation rate is a market-derived estimate of future inflation, calculated by comparing the yield on a standard government bond (nominal) to the yield on a Treasury Inflation-Protected Security (TIPS) of the same maturity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    9 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, based on the Atlanta Fed GDPNow GDP Forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    10 Source: Bloomberg, L.P., Jan. 22, 2026. See footnote 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Important information<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    NA5153178<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    All investing involves risk, including the risk of loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Investments cannot be made directly in an index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy or product for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Bloomberg US Corporate Bond Index measures the investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. It includes US dollar-denominated securities publicly issued by US and non-US industrial, utility, and financial issuers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Breakeven inflation is the difference in yield between a nominal Treasury security and a Treasury Inflation-Protected Security of the same maturity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Monetary easing refers to the lowering of interest rates and deposit ratios by central banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is a committee of the Federal Reserve Board that meets regularly to set monetary policy, including the interest rates that are charged to banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Geopolitical Risk Index measures adverse geopolitical events based on a tally of articles covering geopolitical tensions from 10 different newspapers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Gross domestic product (GDP) is a broad indicator of a region\u2019s economic activity, measuring the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced in that region over a specified time period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Inflation is the rate at which the general price level for goods and services is increasing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Option-adjusted spread (OAS) is the yield spread that must be added to a benchmark yield curve to discount a security\u2019s payments to match its market price, using a dynamic pricing model that accounts for embedded options.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Producer Price Index (PPI) program measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. The prices included in the PPI are from the first commercial transaction for many products and some services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Purchasing Managers\u2019 Indexes (PMI) are based on monthly surveys of companies worldwide and gauge business conditions within the manufacturing and services sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The S&P 500\u00ae Index is an unmanaged index considered representative of the US stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Spread represents the difference between two values or asset returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    In general, stock values fluctuate, sometimes widely, in response to activities specific to the company as well as general market, economic, and political conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are US Treasury securities that are indexed to inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The US Dollar Index measures the value of the US dollar relative to the majority of its most significant trading partners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The opinions referenced above are those of the author as of Jan. 23, 2026. These comments should not be construed as recommendations, but as an illustration of broader themes. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results. They involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions; there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring Greenland. So, what deserves attention now? Listen to the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":177,"featured_media":237436,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13606],"class_list":{"0":"post-238226","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-invesco-us"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFour key market signals to watch | Traders' Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238226\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Four key market signals to watch | IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring Greenland. So, what deserves attention now? Listen to the market.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-28T15:45:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-01-29T10:00:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"563\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Brian Levitt\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Brian Levitt\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t \"@graph\": [\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/#article\",\n\t \"isPartOf\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/\"\n\t },\n\t \"author\": {\n\t \"name\": \"Brian Levitt\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6daab70f2e82fc7d3351e2e1486259c8\"\n\t },\n\t \"headline\": \"Four key market signals to watch\",\n\t \"datePublished\": \"2026-01-28T15:45:31+00:00\",\n\t \"dateModified\": \"2026-01-29T10:00:31+00:00\",\n\t \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/\"\n\t },\n\t \"wordCount\": 1546,\n\t \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t \"publisher\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t },\n\t \"image\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t },\n\t \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg\",\n\t \"articleSection\": [\n\t \"Macro\",\n\t \"North America\",\n\t \"Region\",\n\t \"Securities\",\n\t \"Text Articles\",\n\t \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t ],\n\t \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t \"potentialAction\": [\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t \"target\": [\n\t \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/#respond\"\n\t ]\n\t }\n\t ]\n\t },\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/\",\n\t \"name\": \"Four key market signals to watch | IBKR Campus US\",\n\t \"isPartOf\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\"\n\t },\n\t \"primaryImageOfPage\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t },\n\t \"image\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t },\n\t \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg\",\n\t \"datePublished\": \"2026-01-28T15:45:31+00:00\",\n\t \"dateModified\": \"2026-01-29T10:00:31+00:00\",\n\t \"description\": \"This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring Greenland. So, what deserves attention now? Listen to the market.\",\n\t \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t \"potentialAction\": [\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"ReadAction\",\n\t \"target\": [\n\t \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/\"\n\t ]\n\t }\n\t ]\n\t },\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\\\/#primaryimage\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg\",\n\t \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg\",\n\t \"width\": 1000,\n\t \"height\": 563\n\t },\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"WebSite\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#website\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t \"name\": \"IBKR Campus US\",\n\t \"description\": \"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers\",\n\t \"publisher\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\"\n\t },\n\t \"potentialAction\": [\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"SearchAction\",\n\t \"target\": {\n\t \"@type\": \"EntryPoint\",\n\t \"urlTemplate\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"\n\t },\n\t \"query-input\": {\n\t \"@type\": \"PropertyValueSpecification\",\n\t \"valueRequired\": true,\n\t \"valueName\": \"search_term_string\"\n\t }\n\t }\n\t ],\n\t \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\"\n\t },\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"Organization\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#organization\",\n\t \"name\": \"Interactive Brokers\",\n\t \"alternateName\": \"IBKR\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t \"logo\": {\n\t \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg\",\n\t \"width\": 669,\n\t \"height\": 669,\n\t \"caption\": \"Interactive Brokers\"\n\t },\n\t \"image\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"\n\t },\n\t \"publishingPrinciples\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/about-ibkr-campus\\\/\",\n\t \"ethicsPolicy\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/cyber-security-notice\\\/\"\n\t },\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"Person\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6daab70f2e82fc7d3351e2e1486259c8\",\n\t \"name\": \"Brian Levitt\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.com\\\/campus\\\/author\\\/brian-levitt\\\/\"\n\t }\n\t ]\n\t}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Four key market signals to watch | Traders' Insight","description":"This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238226\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Four key market signals to watch | IBKR Campus US","og_description":"This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring Greenland. So, what deserves attention now? Listen to the market.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/","og_site_name":"IBKR Campus US","article_published_time":"2026-01-28T15:45:31+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-01-29T10:00:31+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1000,"height":563,"url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Brian Levitt","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Brian Levitt","Est. reading time":"8 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/"},"author":{"name":"Brian Levitt","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/6daab70f2e82fc7d3351e2e1486259c8"},"headline":"Four key market signals to watch","datePublished":"2026-01-28T15:45:31+00:00","dateModified":"2026-01-29T10:00:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/"},"wordCount":1546,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg","articleSection":["Macro","North America","Region","Securities","Text Articles","Traders' Insight"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/","name":"Four key market signals to watch | IBKR Campus US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg","datePublished":"2026-01-28T15:45:31+00:00","dateModified":"2026-01-29T10:00:31+00:00","description":"This year alone, we\u2019ve navigated Venezuela, Iran, questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), and even the US possibly acquiring Greenland. So, what deserves attention now? Listen to the market.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/four-key-market-signals-to-watch\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg","width":1000,"height":563},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","name":"IBKR Campus US","description":"Financial Education from Interactive Brokers","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#organization","name":"Interactive Brokers","alternateName":"IBKR","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/ibkr-campus-logo.jpg","width":669,"height":669,"caption":"Interactive Brokers"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/about-ibkr-campus\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/cyber-security-notice\/"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/6daab70f2e82fc7d3351e2e1486259c8","name":"Brian Levitt","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/brian-levitt\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/econ-data-featured-img.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/177"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=238226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238226\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/237436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=238226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=238226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=238226"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=238226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}