{"id":238027,"date":"2026-01-27T09:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T14:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=238027"},"modified":"2026-01-28T04:32:59","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T09:32:59","slug":"the-amazon-drag-is-ending-and-ups-smells-a-turnaround","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/the-amazon-drag-is-ending-and-ups-smells-a-turnaround\/","title":{"rendered":"The Amazon Drag Is Ending And UPS Smells A Turnaround"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

United Parcel Service, Inc.<\/strong> <\/a>(NYSE:<\/a>UPS<\/a>) reported fourth-quarter 2025<\/a> results on Tuesday, posting revenue of $24.5 billion and operating profit of $2.6 billion. Non-GAAP adjusted operating profit totaled $2.9 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shares were trading higher following the release as the company topped Wall Street expectations and issued full-year 2026 guidance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earnings And Key Items<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Diluted GAAP earnings per share were $2.10, while non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS was $2.38. The company said results \u201coutperformed our financial expectations in the fourth quarter.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

United Parcel Service reported adjusted EPS of $2.38, beating the $2.20 estimate, while revenue of $24.500 billion topped the $24.003 billion estimate<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GAAP results for the quarter included total charges of $238 million, or 28 cents per diluted share. These included a $137 million after-tax non-cash charge related to the write-off of the MD-11 aircraft fleet and $101 million of after-tax transformation charges. UPS accelerated its fleet modernization plans, completing the retirement of its MD-11 fleet during the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UPS declared a first-quarter 2026 dividend of $1.64 per share, payable March 5, 2026, to shareowners of record on February 17, 2026. The company also said it returned $6.4 billion to shareholders during 2025 through dividends and share repurchases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Segment Performance<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In U.S. Domestic, revenue totaled $16.756 billion, down from $17.312 billion a year earlier. UPS said revenue declined 3.2%, \u201cprimarily driven by an expected decline in volume,\u201d while revenue per piece increased 8.3%. Operating margin was 8.5%, with a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of 10.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

International revenue rose to $5.045 billion from $4.923 billion, driven by a 7.1% increase in revenue per piece. Operating margin was 17.5%, and non-GAAP adjusted operating margin was 18.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Supply Chain Solutions revenue declined to $2.678 billion from $3.066 billion. UPS said revenue fell 12.7%, \u201cprimarily due to a decline in volume in the Mail Innovations business.\u201d Operating margin was 9.8%, with a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of 10.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full-Year Results<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

For full-year 2025, UPS reported revenue of $88.7 billion, operating profit of $7.9 billion, and non-GAAP adjusted operating profit of $8.7 billion. Operating margin was 8.9%, and non-GAAP adjusted operating margin was 9.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GAAP diluted EPS totaled $6.56, while non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS was $7.16. Cash from operations totaled $8.5 billion, and non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow was $5.5 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CEO Carol Tom\u00e9 <\/strong>said, \u201c2025 was a year of considerable progress for UPS as we took action to strengthen our revenue quality and build a more agile network. Looking ahead, upon completion of the Amazon glide-down, 2026 will be an inflection point in the execution of our strategy to deliver growth and sustained margin expansion.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In an October report, Brian Dykes<\/strong>, CFO of UPS, said UPS’s decision to cut its Amazon.com, Inc. <\/strong>(NASDAQ:<\/a>AMZN<\/a>) delivery volume by half by late 2026 signals a major strategic shift, reflecting a long-term divergence in priorities that led UPS to reassess where it creates the most value after nearly three decades of partnership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Outlook<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

For 2026, UPS forecasts revenue of about $89.7 billion, above the $87.938 billion analyst estimate<\/a>, and a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of about 9.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The company said it plans capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and expects dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval, with an effective tax rate of approximately 23.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In its forward-looking statements, UPS cited risks including \u201cnew or increased tariffs\u201d and \u201cincreasingly stringent regulations related to climate change,\u201d among other factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UPS Price Action:<\/strong> United Parcel Service shares were up 2.70% at $109.86 during premarket trading on Tuesday, according to Benzinga Pro data<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally Posted January 27, 2026 – The Amazon Drag Is Ending And UPS Smells A Turnaround<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) reported fourth-quarter 2025 results on Tuesday, posting revenue of $24.5 billion and operating profit of $2.6 billion. 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