{"id":237809,"date":"2026-01-26T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=237809"},"modified":"2026-01-27T04:55:34","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T09:55:34","slug":"tech-rebound-soothes-greenland-induced-shivers-just-as-earnings-season-hits-its-stride","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/tech-rebound-soothes-greenland-induced-shivers-just-as-earnings-season-hits-its-stride\/","title":{"rendered":"Tech Rebound Soothes Greenland-Induced Shivers, Just as Earnings Season Hits Its Stride"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>With only 13% of companies reporting thus far, S&amp;P 500\u00ae EPS growth for Q4 2025 currently stands at 8.2%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The tech sector continues to dominate, Despite a significant earnings-related slide from Intel, the Information Technology sector remained the market&#8217;s primary engine, lifted by an ongoing &#8220;AI supercycle&#8221; and strong results from names like Meta and Netflix<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Potential earnings surprises this week: Union Pacific, NextEra Energy, Texas Instruments, UnitedHealth Group, American Express and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Peak earnings season for Q4 begins this week and runs through February 27<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Headline whiplash impacted US equity markets last week. Investors who checked their portfolios on Tuesday saw a sea of red as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged above 20. The catalyst? A frosty reception to President Trump\u2019s renewed push to annex Greenland, paired with a sudden threat of 10% tariffs on eight European allies.<sup>1<\/sup>&nbsp;For a moment, the market braced for a Greenland tax that threatened to ignite a fresh trade war with the EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the narrative shifted rapidly by Wednesday and Thursday. As news of a framework deal involving NATO leadership emerged and the immediate tariff threat was walk-back, the bulls came charging back.<sup>2<\/sup>&nbsp;By Friday afternoon, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq were battling back toward positive territory for the week, proving once again that in 2026, geopolitical drama is often a &#8220;buy the dip&#8221; event rather than a structural breakdown.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tech-lifts-the-heavy-weight-even-as-intel-falters\">Tech Lifts the Heavy Weight, Even as Intel Falters<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The real hero of the late-week recovery was the Information Technology sector. Despite a jarring 16% slide from Intel (INTC) following a tepid outlook shared on their Q4 2025 earnings call, the broader semiconductor space and &#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221; megacaps provided the necessary ballast.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nvidia (NVDA) rose as reports surfaced that Chinese tech firms are clearing hurdles to order H200 chips<sup>3<\/sup>, while Netflix (NFLX) provided the earnings-driven momentum the market craved, and an analyst upgrade on Meta Platforms (META) as well as rollout of Threads ads boosted that name.<sup>4<\/sup>&nbsp;The tech sector continues to be the primary engine of the world&#8217;s largest economy, fueled by an AI supercycle that analysts at J.P. Morgan believe will drive double-digit earnings growth (13 &#8211; 15%) for the next two years.<sup>5<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-q4-2025-scorecard-growth-perseveres\">Q4 2025 Scorecard: Growth Perseveres<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We are now roughly 13% through S&amp;P 500 reports for the Q4 2025 earnings season, and the early results as tracked by Factset<sup>6<\/sup>&nbsp;suggest a &#8220;glass half full&#8221; scenario:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Positive Surprises:<\/strong>\u00a075% of S&amp;P 500 companies have beaten EPS estimates, while this is below the 5 and 10-year average, keep in mind analysts uncharacteristically raised expectations leading into the season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Earnings Growth:<\/strong>\u00a0The blended growth rate stands at 8.2%, putting the index on track for its 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sector Leaders &amp; Laggards:<\/strong>\u00a0While Tech and Materials are leading the charge, the Energy sector remains the lone outlier, projected to report a year-over-year revenue decline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>While the Greenland saga dominated the news cycle, the corporate world was busy reporting the nuts and bolts of the economy. Notable earnings reports from last week include streaming giant, Netflix (NFLX) which delivered a blockbuster Q4, crossing the $325 million paid membership milestone and forecasting 2026 revenue of over $50 billion.<sup>7<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Industrials results were a bit more mixed when GE Aerospace (GE) reported lower-than-expected results, causing shares to decline over 7% post-earnings.<sup>8<\/sup>&nbsp;Meanwhile Procter &amp; Gamble (PG) offered a defensive win for the bulls, rising 2.5% on solid consumer demand.<sup>9<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The week ended with Intel reporting results that beat on the top and the bottom-line, but it was their disappointing outlook which served as a stark reminder that while the AI tide is rising, not every ship is floating equally high.<sup>10<\/sup>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-looking-ahead-macro-and-tech-earnings-in-focus-nbsp\">Looking Ahead: Macro and Tech Earnings in Focus&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The macro chaos of early 2026 isn&#8217;t over. With the Federal Reserve\u2019s January 28 interest-rate decision looming and the Bank of Japan grappling with record-high yields, the Greenland calm may be temporary.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also move into peak earnings season this week. Earnings results from heavy hitters,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/microsoft-earnings-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Microsoft<\/a>&nbsp;(MSFT),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/apple-earnings-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Apple<\/a>&nbsp;(AAPL), and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/alphabet-earnings-calendar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Alphabet<\/a>&nbsp;(GOOGL), will take the stage. Their commentary on the state of global trade and AI spending will likely determine if the S&amp;P 500 can break its two-week losing streak and return to record highs.\u200b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/upload\/260126-WeeklyEarningsGraphic1920x1400px.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1400\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1920px; aspect-ratio: 1920\/1400;\"><br><br>Source: Wall Street Horizon<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-outlier-earnings-dates-this-week\">Outlier Earnings Dates This Week<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Academic research shows that when a company confirms a quarterly earnings date that is later than when they have historically reported, it\u2019s typically a sign that the company will share bad news on their upcoming call, while moving a release date earlier suggests the opposite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week we get results from a number of large companies on major indexes that have pushed their Q4 2025 earnings dates outside of their historical norms. Six companies within the S&amp;P 500 confirmed outlier earnings dates for this week, five of which are later than usual and therefore have negative DateBreaks Factors*. Those names are: Union Pacific Corp (UNP), NextEra Energy (NEE), Texas Instruments (TXN), UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and American Express (AXP). Only Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) has a positive DateBreaks Factor for this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>*&nbsp;<em>Wall Street Horizon DateBreaks Factor: statistical measurement of how an earnings date (confirmed or revised) compares to the reporting company&#8217;s 5-year trend for the same quarter. Negative means the earnings date is confirmed to be later than historical average while Positive is earlier.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-q4-2025-earnings-wave-nbsp\">Q4 2025 Earnings Wave&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><br>This week marks the beginning of peak earnings season which extends through February 27, and anticipates over 1,000 company reports each week. Currently, February 26 is predicted to be the most active day with 852 companies anticipated to report. Thus far, only 53% of companies have confirmed their earnings date (out of our universe of 11,000+ global names). The remaining dates are estimated based on historical reporting data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/upload\/260109WSHES.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"821\" height=\"497\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 821px; aspect-ratio: 821\/497;\"><br><br>Source: Wall Street Horizon<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-footnotes\">Footnotes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u201cTrump says 8 European countries will face 10% tariff for opposing US control of Greenland,\u201d Associated Press, Josh Boak, Emma Burrows, Daniel Niemann, January 17, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/denmark-greenland-us-trump-4ad99ea3975a8b62d37bd04961feda55\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/apnews.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump says he reached Greenland deal \u2018framework\u2019 with NATO, backs off Europe tariffs,\u201d CNBC, Kevin Breuninger, January 21, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/01\/21\/trump-tariffs-nato-greenland-davos.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.cnbc.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cChina Tells Alibaba, Tech Firms to Prep Nvidia H200 Orders,\u201d Bloomberg News, January 22, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-01-23\/china-tells-alibaba-top-tech-firms-to-prep-nvidia-h200-orders\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cMeta (META) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know,\u201d Yahoo Finance, Anthony Lee, January 22, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/meta-meta-stock-know-180036080.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201c2026 market outlook: A multidimensional polarization, JPMorgan, December 9, 2025,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/insights\/global-research\/outlook\/market-outlook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>FactSet Earnings Insight, John Butters, January 23, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/advantage.factset.com\/hubfs\/Website\/Resources%20Section\/Research%20Desk\/Earnings%20Insight\/EarningsInsight_012326.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/advantage.factset.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Netflix Q4 2025 Earnings Results, January 20, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/s22.q4cdn.com\/959853165\/files\/doc_financials\/2025\/q4\/FINAL-Q4-25-Shareholder-Letter.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/s22.q4cdn.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>GE AEROSPACE ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER 2025 RESULTS, January 22, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.geaerospace.com\/sites\/default\/files\/geaerospace_webcast_pressrelease_01222026.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.geaerospace.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>P&amp;G Announces Fiscal Year 2026 Second Quarter Results, January 22, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/pginvestor.com\/news\/news-details\/2026\/PG-Announces-Fiscal-Year-2026-Second-Quarter-Results\/default.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/pginvestor.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Intel Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results, January 22, 2026,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.intc.com\/news-events\/press-releases\/detail\/1759\/intel-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2025-financial\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.intc.com<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Time Will Tell: Information in the Timing of Scheduled Earnings News, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Eric C. So, Travis L. Johnson, Dec, 2018,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2480662\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted on January 26, 2026 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreethorizon.com\/blog\/Tech-Rebound-Soothes-Greenland-Induced-Shivers-Just-as-Earnings-Season-Hits-Its-Stride\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tech Rebound Soothes Greenland-Induced Shivers, Just as Earnings Season Hits Its Stride<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Copyright <sup>\u00a9<\/sup> 2026 Wall Street Horizon, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not copy, distribute, sell or modify this document without Wall Street Horizon&#8217;s prior written consent. This information is provided for information purposes only. Neither TMX Group Limited nor any of its affiliated companies guarantees the completeness of the information contained in this publication, and we are not responsible for any errors or omissions in or your use of, or reliance on, the information. This publication is not intended to provide legal, accounting, tax, investment, financial or other advice and should not be relied upon for such advice. The information provided is not an invitation to purchase securities, including any listed on Toronto Stock Exchange and\/or TSX Venture Exchange. TMX Group and its affiliated companies do not endorse or recommend any securities referenced in this publication. This publication shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor may there be any sale of any securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction. TMX, the TMX design, TMX Group, Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX, and TSX Venture Exchange are the trademarks of TSX Inc. and are used under license. Wall Street Horizon is the trademark of Wall Street Horizon, Inc. All other trademarks used in this publication are the property of their respective owners.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Headline whiplash impacted US equity markets last week. Investors who checked their portfolios on Tuesday saw a sea of red as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged above 20.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":586,"featured_media":237855,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13636],"class_list":{"0":"post-237809","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-wall-street-horizon"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tech Rebound Soothes Greenland-Induced Shivers, Just as Earnings Season Hits Its Stride<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Headline whiplash impacted US equity markets last week. 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Investors who checked their portfolios on Tuesday saw a sea of red as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged above 20.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/tech-rebound-soothes-greenland-induced-shivers-just-as-earnings-season-hits-its-stride\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-26T16:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-01-27T09:55:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Tech-Rebound-Soothes-Greenland-Induced-Shivers-1920-x-1080-px.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Christine Short\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Christine Short\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"NewsArticle\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/tech-rebound-soothes-greenland-induced-shivers-just-as-earnings-season-hits-its-stride\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.com\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/tech-rebound-soothes-greenland-induced-shivers-just-as-earnings-season-hits-its-stride\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t        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