{"id":237710,"date":"2026-01-22T13:02:49","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T18:02:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=237710"},"modified":"2026-01-22T15:00:47","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T20:00:47","slug":"greenland-part-of-us-contract-rises-to-61-record-before-retreating","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/greenland-part-of-us-contract-rises-to-61-record-before-retreating\/","title":{"rendered":"Greenland Part of US Contract Rises To 61% Record Before Retreating: Jan. 22, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Turbulent developments in Davos involving tariff threats against certain European countries sent the odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US in some capacity up to a record of 61%. But then, a framework set by President Trump and NATO Chief Mark Rutte, whose details remain fluid and uncertain, sparked volatility in this contract, as investors grapple with the sovereignty implications of a greater American presence in the self-governed Danish territory. A common question is whether the White House will be satisfied controlling parts of the world\u2019s largest island without it formally belonging to Washington. The probability is now at a lower 44%<\/a> following the spike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Japan CPI \u201cYes\u201d Is Undervalued<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Japan\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) \u201cYes\u201d is undervalued considering that the median expectation calls for a rise from November\u2019s 113.2 to 113.7 in December. Meanwhile, the \u201cYes\u201d at 113.2, which represents a 0% month over month (m\/m) change versus the 0.4% projected, is only at $0.46<\/a>. The path to a zero m\/m difference or less is very narrow in my opinion as this instrument could deliver north of a double for investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bank of Japan Expected to Keep Rates Steady<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Participants are almost 100%<\/a> sure that the Bank of Japan will not change its interest rate at the decision tomorrow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UMich 56 \u201cNo\u201d Is Undervalued<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The University of Michigan\u2019s (UMich) Consumer Sentiment revisions have been historically modest, and an upgrade of 2.1 has rarely occurred. Indeed, a final reading of 56 tomorrow is extremely unlikely, and the \u201cNo\u201d <\/a>there should be valued at $0.95, since it requires a bump north of 2 for 54 to become 56.1, which is what\u2019s required for this contract to lose money. It\u2019s going for $0.74 as of this morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Singaporean CPI \u201cYes\u201d Is Undervalued<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Singapore CPI is expected to come in at 1.2% tomorrow, while the range of the 17 forecasters surveyed in the monthly Reuters poll sport a minimum of 0.9% and a maximum of 1.3%. Against this backdrop, the \u201cYes\u201d<\/a> should be closer to $0.83 in my opinion, as a miss of 0.2% is uncommon for this indicator.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 22, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/greenland-featured-img-1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237710","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=237710"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237710\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/236807"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=237710"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=237710"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=237710"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=237710"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}