{"id":237265,"date":"2026-01-12T10:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T15:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=237265"},"modified":"2026-01-13T05:36:58","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T10:36:58","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-january-12-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-january-12-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of January 12, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nonfarm payrolls rose by 50k<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>JOLTS job openings fell to 7.15mn<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CPI<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PPI<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Retail sales<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Heading into 2026, absent any major market shocks, the pieces are in place for one of the strongest years for North American M&amp;A and IPO activity we have ever seen. Favorable economic conditions, an increasingly permissive antitrust agenda in Washington and cheaper financing costs should make it easier to facilitate transactions, with companies now operating in one of the most pro-business deal-making environments in years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If this sounds familiar, that\u2019s because these are very similar to the reasons why markets expected a rebound in deal activity in 2025. Sure enough, and as shown in this week\u2019s chart, annualized 2025 North American M&amp;A deal value is on pace to be 32% higher than in 2024 \u2013 and nearly equivalent to the record total set in 2021. Now, in 2026, with tariff uncertainty fading and rates 75 basis points lower than they were at the start of 2025, confidence among business leaders is growing. According to an annual Citizens Bank survey, sentiment for a robust deal environment is at a six-year high, with nearly 60% of companies characterizing the current M&amp;A environment as \u201csomewhat or extremely strong.\u201d For IPO markets, in addition to the same tailwinds expected to boost M&amp;A, continued strength in equity markets, a sizable backlog of older-vintage private-equity-owned companies in the pipeline and several large, high-profile private companies expected to go public are spurring optimism this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With these favorable conditions in place, companies are poised to continue taking advantage of a sustained window for deal activity. Strong M&amp;A and IPO activity is positive for investments in private equity and venture capital, which can serve as a diversified source of growth within portfolios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1010\" height=\"403\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-094810.png\" alt=\"North America M&amp;A deal value by quarter\" class=\"wp-image-237268 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-094810.png 1010w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-094810-700x279.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-094810-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-12-094810-768x306.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1010px) 100vw, 1010px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1010px; aspect-ratio: 1010\/403;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: PitchBook Data, Inc., J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management. 4Q25 M&amp;A deal value is annualized.<br>Thought of the week: Source: Citizens Bank, PitchBook Data, Inc., J.P.<br>Morgan Asset Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted January 12, 2026\u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2025 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., January 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of January 12, 2026 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights North American M&amp;A deal value up 32% in 2025, with 2026 set for strong M&amp;A and IPO activity amid pro-business conditions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":237268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,6,8,9,26,3],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[13608],"class_list":{"0":"post-237265","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: Week of January 12, 2026<\/title>\n<meta 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