{"id":236804,"date":"2026-01-05T12:55:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T17:55:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/?p=236804"},"modified":"2026-01-05T15:11:55","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T20:11:55","slug":"odds-of-greenland-becoming-part-of-the-us-double-following-maduro-arrest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/odds-of-greenland-becoming-part-of-the-us-double-following-maduro-arrest\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds of Greenland Becoming Part of the US Double Following Maduro Arrest: Jan. 5, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose significantly following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela. Indeed, the 8% probability on Jan. 2 climbed to as high as <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=791099793%7C20290101%7C0%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">17%<\/a> today against the backdrop of greater chances that Washington will seek to expand its influence in regions with significant geopolitical value. President Trump told reporters that \u201cwe need Greenland from the standpoint of national security.&#8221; Meanwhile, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, prime minister of the autonomous Denmark constituent, continues to dismiss the US commander in chief by calling his desire a fantasy. The developments occur as the world order shifts, with Moscow and Russia, allies of Caracas, having ambitions of their own, namely in Kyiv and Taipei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"956\" height=\"422\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Picture1-1.jpg\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader asking if any portion of Greenland will become a US state\" class=\"wp-image-236806 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Picture1-1.jpg 956w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Picture1-1-700x309.jpg 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Picture1-1-300x132.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/Picture1-1-768x339.jpg 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 956px) 100vw, 956px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 956px; aspect-ratio: 956\/422;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 5, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of US rose significantly following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":236807,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18929,18,6,8,9,1031,26,3],"tags":[20984],"contributors-categories":[13760],"class_list":{"0":"post-236804","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-macro","9":"category-north-america","10":"category-region","11":"category-securities","12":"category-south-america","13":"category-text-articles","14":"category-traders-insight","15":"tag-greenland","16":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Odds of Greenland Becoming Part of the US Double Following Maduro Arrest: Jan. 5, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of US rose significantly following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela. 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